Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mdina vs Pieta

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Nakamura S.
57' Event
Busuttil J.
64' Event
Nakamura S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Pieta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mdina
15%
Draws
53%
Pieta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Pieta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Pieta taking it.
  • Pieta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pieta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Mdina Clean Sheet 12%
Pieta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mdina Pieta
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 3 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2018 FA Trophy
Mdina vs Pieta
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mdina Compare

Top Goalscorer Vella C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Pieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakamura S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Busuttil J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mdina 10 / 100
Pieta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mdina Pieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pieta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mdina scored in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Defensive concern: Pieta conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Mdina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pieta
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mdina

(Home)
06 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
7 : 0
Mdina
30 Nov
Mdina
1 : 4
Pieta
28 Oct
Mdina
2 : 1
Gharb
09 Sept
Zebbug Rovers
0 : 1
Mdina
10 Sept
Mdina
2 : 3
Mellieha
Page 1 of 3

Pieta

(Away)
18 Sept
Swieqi
3 : 2
Pieta
12 Sept
Pieta
3 : 2
Naxxar Lions
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4
Pieta
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 2
Xbiex 0
Marsaskala FC 0
Dingli Swallows 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 8
Oratory 0
TBD -
Xewkija -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
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Senglea -
St. Andrews -
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Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 4
Munxar 0
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
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TBD -
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Birkirkara -
Gzira -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
Msida 0
Victoria Hotspurs 8
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug Rovers -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Pieta -
Hibernians -
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Qormi -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 2
St. Lawrence 0
Mtarfa 0
Victoria Wanderers 10
TBD -
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TBD -
Fgura -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
Qala Saints 1
Gharghur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
1/64-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 2
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 0
Xewkija 2
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 1
Kirkop 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 4
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Attard 1
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Mdina 1
Zebbug Rovers 0
Xghajra 1
Gharb 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
TBD -
Fgura -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
Xaghra 1
Gharghur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Qrendi 3
Gudja 2
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 1
Xewkija 6
Zebbug 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Santa Lucia 2
Birzebbuga 3
Vittoriosa 2
Kirkop 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 7
Zabbar 0
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Luqa 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Siggiewi 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Swieqi 0
Melita 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
St. Venera 0
Pembroke 3
Mdina 2
Gharb 1
TBD -
Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
San Gwann 2
Mgarr 1
Ghaxaq 1
Fgura 4
Lija 4
St. George's FC 0
Kalkara 0
Mellieha 2
Marsa 5
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Valletta -
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 5
Qrendi 1
Gudja 1
Xewkija 2
Zebbug 5
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 0
Tarxien 3
Mosta FC 3
Senglea 2
St. Andrews 0
Sliema 2
Hamrun 1
Floriana 0
Nadur 0
Birkirkara 4
Gzira 4
Rabat Ajax 0
Siggiewi 1
Melita 3
Zejtun 2
Pembroke 0
Mdina 1
Pieta 4
Hibernians 5
Qormi 1
San Gwann 0
Fgura 1
Lija 5
Mellieha 0
Marsa 0
Valletta 3
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 6
Xewkija 1
Zebbug 0
Tarxien 5
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 1
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 4
Melita 2
Zejtun 0
Pieta 2
Hibernians 4
Fgura 0
Lija 1
Valletta 7
Quarter-finals
Balzan FC 2
Tarxien 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 2
Pieta 1
Hibernians 2
Valletta 3
Semi-finals
Balzan FC 3
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Final
Balzan FC 5
Valletta 4