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Mechelen W vs Tienen W

Belgium Belgium

1st National Women 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The 1st National Women 2025/2026 game between Mechelen W and Tienen W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mechelen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Mechelen W
20%
Draws
17%
Tienen W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mechelen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Mechelen W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mechelen W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1st National Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mechelen W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mechelen W Clean Sheet 20%
Tienen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mechelen W Tienen W
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 1st National Women
Mechelen W vs Tienen W
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 1st National Women
Tienen W vs Mechelen W
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 1st National Women
Tienen W vs Mechelen W
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 1st National Women
Mechelen W vs Tienen W
4:0
Apr 16, 2022 1st National Women
Mechelen W vs Tienen W
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mechelen W 85 / 100
Tienen W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mechelen W Tienen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mechelen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Mechelen W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mechelen W scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Tienen W conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mechelen W VS Tienen W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mechelen W

(Home)
26 Sept
Mechelen W
2 : 0
RFC Liege W
20 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
2 : 2
Mechelen W
12 Sept
Mechelen W
1 : 1
RSC Anderlecht II W
04 Sept
Leuven II W
0 : 2
Mechelen W
29 Aug
Mechelen W
3 : 0
Club Brugge II W
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Tienen W

(Away)
02 May
Tienen W
1 : 2
VC Moldavo W
25 Apr
Mechelen W
2 : 0
Tienen W
19 Apr
Tienen W
1 : 0
Leuven II W
11 Apr
Tienen W
1 : 2
Femina Woluwe W
03 Apr
Club Brugge II W
4 : 2
Tienen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leuven II W 26 18 3 5 66:27 57
2 RSC Anderlecht II W 26 16 4 6 56:34 52
3 RAAL La Louviere W 26 16 4 6 47:32 52
4 Olsa Brakel W 26 15 4 7 63:39 49
5 Waregem 2 2 W 26 11 7 8 37:31 40
6 Bilzen United W 26 12 4 10 51:46 40
7 Mechelen W 26 11 2 13 34:30 35
8 Tienen W 26 10 3 13 30:40 33
9 Mons W 26 8 5 13 33:50 29
10 Standard Liege II W 26 8 4 14 39:47 28
11 Club Brugge II W 26 6 10 10 44:54 28
12 Famkes Oostende W 26 6 8 12 37:56 26
13 Femina Woluwe W 26 8 2 16 28:51 26
14 VC Moldavo W 26 4 6 16 21:49 18
Promotion - Super League Women (Main)