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Meda vs Agueda

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Meda Logo

Meda

0 - 6
FT
Agueda Logo

Agueda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 game between Meda and Agueda finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agueda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Meda
15%
Draws
85%
Agueda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agueda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Agueda come out ahead of Meda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Agueda a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Meda Clean Sheet 10%
Agueda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meda Agueda
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 0 5
Draws 2 5
Losses 28 15
Goals Scored 0.57 1
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Meda vs Agueda
0:6
Aug 26, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Agueda vs Meda
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meda 10 / 100
Agueda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meda Agueda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agueda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Agueda has conceded goals in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Away concern: Agueda has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Meda scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Meda VS Agueda
0 Goals Scored 1.38
6 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Meda

(Home)
11 Sept
Meda
0 : 6
Beira Mar
27 Sept
Gondomar
7 : 0
Meda
12 May
Coimbroes
4 : 2
Meda
05 May
Meda
1 : 4
U. Madeira
28 Apr
Pedras Rubras
1 : 0
Meda
Page 1 of 6

Agueda

(Away)
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1
Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2
Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Espinho 34 20 9 5 52:20 69
2 Lusitania FC 34 19 12 3 52:27 69
3 Gondomar 34 18 10 6 50:22 64
4 Agueda 34 16 12 6 43:26 60
5 Lusitano FCV 34 17 8 9 59:28 59
6 Sanjoanense 34 15 10 9 44:34 55
7 Amarante FC 34 15 9 10 45:28 54
8 Coimbroes 34 13 10 11 43:39 49
9 Maritimo B 34 12 13 9 53:40 49
10 Paredes 34 13 7 14 42:33 46
11 U. Madeira 34 12 8 14 28:35 44
12 Leca 34 12 7 15 34:41 43
13 Pedras Rubras 34 9 15 10 36:43 42
14 Cinfaes 34 11 8 15 33:40 41
15 Gafanha 34 11 4 19 46:69 37
16 Penalva do Castelo 34 7 7 20 27:66 28
17 FC Cesarense 34 4 13 17 37:55 25
18 Meda 34 0 2 32 21:99 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)