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Medea vs Arba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
44'
56' Event

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2023/2024 game between Medea and Arba finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Medea
15%
Draws
85%
Arba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Medea haven't matched Arba's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Medea a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Medea Clean Sheet 20%
Arba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medea Arba
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 3 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.87 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Ligue 2
Medea vs Arba
2:3
Nov 25, 2023 Ligue 2
Arba vs Medea
0:1
May 14, 2022 Ligue 1
Medea vs Arba
4:3
Jan 14, 2022 Ligue 1
Arba vs Medea
4:2
Mar 7, 2020 Ligue 2
Medea vs Arba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medea 42 / 100
Arba 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medea Arba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Medea's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Arba conceded in 62% of 37 recent games.

Arba's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arba
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Medea

(Home)
01 Jun
Oued Sly
4 : 2
Medea
28 May
Medea
1 : 2
CR Temouchent
24 May
Guir Abadla
3 : 1
Medea
18 May
Medea
1 : 3
WA Mostaganem
11 May
ASM Oran
4 : 1
Medea
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Arba

(Away)
19 Sept
GC Mascara
3 : 0
Arba
09 May
JS El Biar
4 : 1
Arba
01 May
Arba
2 : 1
Bechar Djedid
25 Apr
CR Temouchent
1 : 0
Arba
18 Apr
Arba
2 : 0
Adrar
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympique Akbou 30 22 4 4 59:19 70
2 MSP Batna 30 18 7 5 46:22 61
3 Bordj Menail 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
4 CA Batna 30 10 13 7 26:22 43
5 MO Constantine 30 11 9 10 32:36 42
6 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 11 8 11 28:26 41
7 Harrach 30 12 5 13 35:34 41
8 Ouargla 30 11 8 11 23:32 41
9 Chelghoum 30 11 6 13 33:31 39
10 Olympique Magrane 30 11 6 13 28:37 39
11 Khroub 30 9 11 10 35:28 38
12 Annaba 30 8 14 8 33:28 38
13 Telaghema 30 12 2 16 40:41 38
14 Mlila 30 10 7 13 28:34 37
15 Ghozlane 30 7 8 15 27:49 29
16 Eulma 30 3 7 20 17:57 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mostaganem 30 23 6 1 60:11 75
2 RC Kouba 30 19 7 4 38:17 64
3 WA Mostaganem 30 16 8 6 59:29 56
4 CR Temouchent 30 14 7 9 35:26 49
5 GC Mascara 30 13 5 12 31:34 43
6 Kolea 30 12 5 13 38:35 41
7 JSM Tiaret 30 10 10 10 31:33 40
8 SC Mecheria 30 10 8 12 41:40 38
9 Hussein Dey 30 11 6 13 24:30 38
10 Oued Sly 30 11 5 14 27:35 38
11 Arba 30 11 5 14 37:47 38
12 El Khemis 30 11 4 15 42:41 37
13 ASM Oran 30 10 9 11 39:42 37
14 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 30 9 9 12 33:36 36
15 Medea 30 3 8 19 26:57 15
16 Guir Abadla 30 4 4 22 31:79 15
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)