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Medea vs ASM Oran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
El Ghomari T.
65' Event
90'

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2023/2024 game between Medea and ASM Oran finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Medea
15%
Draws
85%
ASM Oran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASM Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • ASM Oran carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ASM Oran's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Medea Clean Sheet 17%
ASM Oran Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medea ASM Oran
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs Medea
4:1
Jan 12, 2024 Ligue 2
Medea vs ASM Oran
1:1
Feb 3, 2023 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs Medea
1:0
Sep 24, 2022 Ligue 2
Medea vs ASM Oran
0:0
Nov 20, 2019 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs Medea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Medea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

ASM Oran Compare

Top Goalscorer El Ghomari T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medea 12 / 100
ASM Oran 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medea ASM Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASM Oran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medea scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: ASM Oran registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

ASM Oran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS ASM Oran
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Medea

(Home)
01 Jun
Oued Sly
4 : 2
Medea
28 May
Medea
1 : 2
CR Temouchent
24 May
Guir Abadla
3 : 1
Medea
18 May
Medea
1 : 3
WA Mostaganem
11 May
ASM Oran
4 : 1
Medea
Page 1 of 6

ASM Oran

(Away)
03 Oct
Saida
1 : 0
ASM Oran
26 Sept
ASM Oran
3 : 1
WA Mostaganem
19 Sept
Harrach
1 : 0
ASM Oran
08 May
Adrar
1 : 4
ASM Oran
01 May
ASM Oran
0 : 1
RC Kouba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympique Akbou 30 22 4 4 59:19 70
2 MSP Batna 30 18 7 5 46:22 61
3 Bordj Menail 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
4 CA Batna 30 10 13 7 26:22 43
5 MO Constantine 30 11 9 10 32:36 42
6 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 11 8 11 28:26 41
7 Harrach 30 12 5 13 35:34 41
8 Ouargla 30 11 8 11 23:32 41
9 Chelghoum 30 11 6 13 33:31 39
10 Olympique Magrane 30 11 6 13 28:37 39
11 Khroub 30 9 11 10 35:28 38
12 Annaba 30 8 14 8 33:28 38
13 Telaghema 30 12 2 16 40:41 38
14 Mlila 30 10 7 13 28:34 37
15 Ghozlane 30 7 8 15 27:49 29
16 Eulma 30 3 7 20 17:57 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mostaganem 30 23 6 1 60:11 75
2 RC Kouba 30 19 7 4 38:17 64
3 WA Mostaganem 30 16 8 6 59:29 56
4 CR Temouchent 30 14 7 9 35:26 49
5 GC Mascara 30 13 5 12 31:34 43
6 Kolea 30 12 5 13 38:35 41
7 JSM Tiaret 30 10 10 10 31:33 40
8 SC Mecheria 30 10 8 12 41:40 38
9 Hussein Dey 30 11 6 13 24:30 38
10 Oued Sly 30 11 5 14 27:35 38
11 Arba 30 11 5 14 37:47 38
12 El Khemis 30 11 4 15 42:41 37
13 ASM Oran 30 10 9 11 39:42 37
14 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 30 9 9 12 33:36 36
15 Medea 30 3 8 19 26:57 15
16 Guir Abadla 30 4 4 22 31:79 15
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)