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Medea vs WA Mostaganem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2023/2024
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Match Events

8' Event
45' Event
57' Event

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2023/2024 game between Medea and WA Mostaganem finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward WA Mostaganem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Medea
15%
Draws
85%
WA Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: WA Mostaganem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and WA Mostaganem come out ahead of Medea on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Medea Clean Sheet 19%
WA Mostaganem Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medea WA Mostaganem
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 3 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Ligue 2
Medea vs WA Mostaganem
1:3
Jan 16, 2024 Ligue 2
WA Mostaganem vs Medea
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medea 36 / 100
WA Mostaganem 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medea WA Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WA Mostaganem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Medea found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

WA Mostaganem has conceded goals in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Away concern: WA Mostaganem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS WA Mostaganem
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Medea

(Home)
01 Jun
Oued Sly
4 : 2
Medea
28 May
Medea
1 : 2
CR Temouchent
24 May
Guir Abadla
3 : 1
Medea
18 May
Medea
1 : 3
WA Mostaganem
11 May
ASM Oran
4 : 1
Medea
Page 1 of 6

WA Mostaganem

(Away)
03 Oct
WA Mostaganem
3 : 1
JSM Tiaret
26 Sept
ASM Oran
3 : 1
WA Mostaganem
19 Sept
Saida
2 : 2
WA Mostaganem
08 May
Harrach
3 : 0
WA Mostaganem
01 May
WA Mostaganem
1 : 2
Saida
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympique Akbou 30 22 4 4 59:19 70
2 MSP Batna 30 18 7 5 46:22 61
3 Bordj Menail 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
4 CA Batna 30 10 13 7 26:22 43
5 MO Constantine 30 11 9 10 32:36 42
6 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 11 8 11 28:26 41
7 Harrach 30 12 5 13 35:34 41
8 Ouargla 30 11 8 11 23:32 41
9 Chelghoum 30 11 6 13 33:31 39
10 Olympique Magrane 30 11 6 13 28:37 39
11 Khroub 30 9 11 10 35:28 38
12 Annaba 30 8 14 8 33:28 38
13 Telaghema 30 12 2 16 40:41 38
14 Mlila 30 10 7 13 28:34 37
15 Ghozlane 30 7 8 15 27:49 29
16 Eulma 30 3 7 20 17:57 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mostaganem 30 23 6 1 60:11 75
2 RC Kouba 30 19 7 4 38:17 64
3 WA Mostaganem 30 16 8 6 59:29 56
4 CR Temouchent 30 14 7 9 35:26 49
5 GC Mascara 30 13 5 12 31:34 43
6 Kolea 30 12 5 13 38:35 41
7 JSM Tiaret 30 10 10 10 31:33 40
8 SC Mecheria 30 10 8 12 41:40 38
9 Hussein Dey 30 11 6 13 24:30 38
10 Oued Sly 30 11 5 14 27:35 38
11 Arba 30 11 5 14 37:47 38
12 El Khemis 30 11 4 15 42:41 37
13 ASM Oran 30 10 9 11 39:42 37
14 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 30 9 9 12 33:36 36
15 Medea 30 3 8 19 26:57 15
16 Guir Abadla 30 4 4 22 31:79 15
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Main)