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Medeama vs Asante Kotoko

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 TNA Park, Tarkwa
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ansu H.
Own Goal
15'
Gilbani N. S.
31' Event
Obeng K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Medeama and Asante Kotoko finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Medeama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Medeama
35%
Draws
35%
Asante Kotoko
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Asante Kotoko haven't matched Medeama's recent run of results.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Medeama Clean Sheet 18%
Asante Kotoko Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medeama Asante Kotoko
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.06 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Medeama vs Asante Kotoko
4:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Medeama
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Medeama
3:2
Jan 5, 2025 Premier League
Medeama vs Asante Kotoko
1:1
Aug 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Medeama vs Asante Kotoko
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Medeama Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Obeng K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Asante Kotoko Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medeama 32 / 100
Asante Kotoko 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medeama Asante Kotoko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asante Kotoko Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Medeama scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Medeama has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Asante Kotoko conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Medeama VS Asante Kotoko
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Medeama

(Home)
23 Sept
Dreams FC
2 : 2
Medeama
19 Sept
Vision
1 : 1
Medeama
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
30 Aug
Medeama
2 : 0
Nations FC
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Asante Kotoko

(Away)
20 Sept
Samartex
1 : 1
Asante Kotoko
13 Sept
Asante Kotoko
2 : 1
Heart of Lions
06 Sept
Debibi United
2 : 2
Asante Kotoko
28 Aug
Asante Kotoko
0 : 0
Hearts of Oak
24 May
Asante Kotoko
1 : 2
Swedru All Blacks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)