Sport Picks

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Medina United vs Dutch Lions

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Medina United play Dutch Lions in the GFA League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Medina United averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Dutch Lions averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Medina United won 2, Dutch Lions won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 17, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Medina United and 1.13 for Dutch Lions. This points to a Medina United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Medina United
32%
Draws
22%
Dutch Lions
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Medina United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Medina United picked up more points recently compared to Dutch Lions.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Medina United Clean Sheet 21%
Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medina United Dutch Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 13
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 GFA League
Medina United vs Dutch Lions
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 GFA League
Dutch Lions vs Medina United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Medina United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanteh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colley P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dutch Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Jallow C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medina United 46 / 100
Dutch Lions 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medina United Dutch Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Medina United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Medina United attacking → ← attacking Dutch Lions

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medina United scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Dutch Lions let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Medina United went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dutch Lions lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 34
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Medina United30166834:2554
2Fortune301411533:2153
3Gambia Ports301211726:1847
4Bombada301111836:3244
5Brikama United301110937:3343
6Real Banjul30914730:2541
7BST Galaxy30912929:3239
8Hart Academy309111036:3438
9Team Rhino309101126:2937
10Falcons30714919:2435
11Dutch Lions307131033:3334
12Greater Tomorrow308101225:3534
13Hawks307121125:3133
14TMT307121120:2933
15Samger306141023:2732
16Steve Biko305151024:2830