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Medjimurje vs Jadran Porec Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2022/2023 Stadion SRC Mladost, Čakovec
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Match Events

90' Event
Macan I.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2022/2023 game between Medjimurje and Jadran Porec finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Porec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Medjimurje
15%
Draws
0%
Jadran Porec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Medjimurje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jadran Porec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Medjimurje Clean Sheet 10%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medjimurje Jadran Porec
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 24 26
Goals Scored 0.7 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Druga NL
Medjimurje vs Jadran Porec
0:1
Sep 10, 2022 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Medjimurje
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Medjimurje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Jadran Porec Compare

Top Goalscorer Macan I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medjimurje 29 / 100
Jadran Porec 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medjimurje Jadran Porec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medjimurje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Porec has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Jadran Porec has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Medjimurje found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Medjimurje VS Jadran Porec
0.5 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Medjimurje

(Home)
11 Feb
Medjimurje
1 : 2
Mladost Zdralovi
08 Feb
Radnik Krizevci
5 : 0
Medjimurje
03 Jun
Medjimurje
4 : 3
Belisce
26 May
Opatija
5 : 3
Medjimurje
20 May
Medjimurje
0 : 1
Marsonia
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Jadran Porec

(Away)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sesvete 30 19 8 3 64:24 65
2 Zrinski Osjecko 30 19 6 5 45:22 63
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 17 9 4 54:23 60
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 14 8 8 48:26 50
5 Bjelovar 30 12 10 8 46:31 46
6 Dugo Selo 30 12 9 9 50:43 45
7 Opatija 30 12 9 9 48:42 45
8 Hrvace 30 10 8 12 48:49 38
9 Belisce 30 10 7 13 39:47 37
10 Jadran Porec 30 9 9 12 51:61 36
11 Marsonia 30 11 3 16 40:52 36
12 Grobnican 30 10 5 15 42:44 35
13 Trnje 30 9 7 14 43:55 34
14 Zagorec Krapina 30 9 7 14 36:53 34
15 Osijek 2 30 7 4 19 32:64 25
16 Medjimurje 30 4 3 23 22:72 15
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)