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Stadium Background

Medjimurje vs Marsonia

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2022/2023 Stadion SRC Mladost, Čakovec
Medjimurje Logo

Medjimurje

0 - 1
FT
Marsonia Logo

Marsonia

Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Mahmutovic S.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2022/2023 game between Medjimurje and Marsonia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Medjimurje
15%
Draws
64%
Marsonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Marsonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Marsonia a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druga NL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Medjimurje Clean Sheet 10%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medjimurje Marsonia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 24 20
Goals Scored 0.7 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Druga NL
Medjimurje vs Marsonia
0:1
Nov 12, 2022 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Medjimurje
1:3
May 20, 2012 Prva NL
Medjimurje vs Marsonia
5:0
Nov 26, 2011 Prva NL
Marsonia vs Medjimurje
2:1
Apr 9, 2011 Prva NL
Medjimurje vs Marsonia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medjimurje 10 / 100
Marsonia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medjimurje Marsonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marsonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marsonia conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Medjimurje scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Medjimurje went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Medjimurje VS Marsonia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Medjimurje

(Home)
11 Feb
Medjimurje
1 : 2
Mladost Zdralovi
08 Feb
Radnik Krizevci
5 : 0
Medjimurje
03 Jun
Medjimurje
4 : 3
Belisce
26 May
Opatija
5 : 3
Medjimurje
20 May
Medjimurje
0 : 1
Marsonia
Page 1 of 6

Marsonia

(Away)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sesvete 30 19 8 3 64:24 65
2 Zrinski Osjecko 30 19 6 5 45:22 63
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 17 9 4 54:23 60
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 14 8 8 48:26 50
5 Bjelovar 30 12 10 8 46:31 46
6 Dugo Selo 30 12 9 9 50:43 45
7 Opatija 30 12 9 9 48:42 45
8 Hrvace 30 10 8 12 48:49 38
9 Belisce 30 10 7 13 39:47 37
10 Jadran Porec 30 9 9 12 51:61 36
11 Marsonia 30 11 3 16 40:52 36
12 Grobnican 30 10 5 15 42:44 35
13 Trnje 30 9 7 14 43:55 34
14 Zagorec Krapina 30 9 7 14 36:53 34
15 Osijek 2 30 7 4 19 32:64 25
16 Medjimurje 30 4 3 23 22:72 15
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)