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Medkila vs Sortland

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 11 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 11 2015 game between Medkila and Sortland finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sortland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Medkila
20%
Draws
40%
Sortland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sortland come out ahead of Medkila on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 11 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sortland here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Medkila Clean Sheet 20%
Sortland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medkila Sortland
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 25 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.45
Goals Conceded 3.3 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Sortland vs Medkila
4:0
Jun 11, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Medkila vs Sortland
0:2
Sep 19, 2015 Division 3 - Group 11
Medkila vs Sortland
0:5
Jun 6, 2015 Division 3 - Group 11
Sortland vs Medkila
2:0
Oct 5, 2013 Division 3 - Group 11
Sortland vs Medkila
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medkila 31 / 100
Sortland 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medkila Sortland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medkila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Medkila scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sortland conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Sortland registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sortland
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Medkila

(Home)
08 Oct
Medkila
2 : 5
Mjolner
01 Oct
Melbo
1 : 2
Medkila
23 Sept
Medkila
2 : 4
Sandnessjoen
17 Sept
Sortland
4 : 0
Medkila
10 Sept
Medkila
4 : 4
Stalkam
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Sortland

(Away)
26 Oct
Alta 2
7 : 1
Sortland
18 Oct
Sortland
0 : 4
Harstad
11 Oct
Sortland
1 : 4
Gamle Oslo
04 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Sortland
27 Sept
Sortland
4 : 1
Skjervoy
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