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Medkila W vs Frigg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Norway Cup Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Medkila W have averaged 1.7 scored and 2.47 conceded recently, against Frigg W's 0.9 scored and 2.72 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 3.13 vs 2.13, favoring Medkila W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Medkila W
15%
Draws
21%
Frigg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Medkila W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Medkila W lately — more wins on the board than Frigg W.
  • Model gives Medkila W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Medkila W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Medkila W Clean Sheet 10%
Frigg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medkila W Frigg W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 1 1
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.7 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medkila W 83 / 100
Frigg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medkila W Frigg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medkila W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frigg W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Medkila W found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Medkila W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Frigg W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Medkila W VS Frigg W
3.5 Goals Scored 0.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Medkila W

(Home)
02 Sept
Medkila W
7 : 0
Melbo W
12 May
Medkila W
0 : 7
Tromso W
22 Apr
Melbo W
1 : 8
Medkila W
07 May
Medkila W
0 : 3
LSK Kvinner W
30 Apr
Krokelvdalen W
0 : 5
Medkila W
Page 1 of 6

Frigg W

(Away)
04 Oct
Frigg W
1 : 2
Fyllingsdalen W
30 Sept
Arna-Bjornar W
5 : 0
Frigg W
26 Sept
Frigg W
0 : 1
Viking W
13 Sept
Asane W
4 : 0
Frigg W
10 Sept
Grorud W
2 : 9
Frigg W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Skeid W 1
Kolbotn W 4
TBD -
Lyn W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Grei W 6
TBD -
Roa W -
Alta W 0
Stromsgodset W 6
TBD -
Valerenga W -
Sandefjord W 3
Start W 2
Ovrevoll Hosle W 0
Odds BK W 4
Raufoss W 1
Klepp W 3
Grimstad W 0
Viking W 5
Arendal W 1
Bryne W 6
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Lyngbo W 1
Asane W 4
Fana W 0
Arna-Bjornar W 5
Lillestrom W 1
Fyllingsdalen W 2
TBD -
Brann W -
Sogndal W 6
Forde W 1
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Hodd W 3
Tynset W 2
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Kil/Hemne W 3
Tiller W 0
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Malvik W 3
Ranheim W 1
TBD -
Molde W -
Steinkjer W 1
Rana FK W 2
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Medkila W 7
Melbo W 0
Grorud W 2
Frigg W 9
Porsanger W 0
Tromso W 5
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt W -
1/16-finals
Ham-Kam W -
LSK Kvinner W -
Kolbotn W -
Lyn W -
Grei W 1
Roa W 0
Stromsgodset W -
Valerenga W -
Sandefjord W 2
Odds BK W 4
Klepp W 2
Viking W 3
Bryne W 1
Haugesund W 5
Asane W -
Arna-Bjornar W -
Fyllingsdalen W -
Brann W -
Sogndal W -
Honefoss W -
Hodd W -
Aalesund W -
Kil/Hemne W -
Stabaek W -
Malvik W -
Molde W -
Rana FK W -
Rosenborg W -
Medkila W -
Frigg W -
Tromso W -
Bodo/Glimt W -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -