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Medkila W vs Tromso W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Elvbo J.
14' Event
Granlind E.
26' Event
Elvbo J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with Tromso W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Medkila W
15%
Draws
26%
Tromso W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Medkila W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Medkila W haven't matched Tromso W's recent run of results.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Tromso W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tromso W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Medkila W Clean Sheet 10%
Tromso W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medkila W Tromso W
Matches Played 37 38
Wins 14 17
Draws 1 6
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 1.65 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Medkila W vs Tromso W
0:7
May 30, 2023 Norway Cup Women
Medkila W vs Tromso W
3:0
Aug 28, 2022 Division 1 Women
Medkila W vs Tromso W
0:6
Mar 19, 2022 Division 1 Women
Tromso W vs Medkila W
6:0
May 1, 2019 Norway Cup Women
Medkila W vs Tromso W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Medkila W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Tromso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Elvbo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Granlind E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medkila W 29 / 100
Tromso W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medkila W Tromso W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medkila W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Medkila W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (37 games).

Defensive concern: Tromso W conceded in 68% of 38 recent games.

Solid form: Medkila W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Medkila W VS Tromso W
3.5 Goals Scored 2.63
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Medkila W

(Home)
02 Sept
Medkila W
7 : 0
Melbo W
12 May
Medkila W
0 : 7
Tromso W
22 Apr
Melbo W
1 : 8
Medkila W
07 May
Medkila W
0 : 3
LSK Kvinner W
30 Apr
Krokelvdalen W
0 : 5
Medkila W
Page 1 of 8

Tromso W

(Away)
04 Oct
Start W
1 : 0
Tromso W
27 Sept
Tromso W
2 : 3
Arna-Bjornar W
20 Sept
Grei W
3 : 2
Tromso W
16 Sept
Porsanger W
0 : 5
Tromso W
13 Sept
Tromso W
2 : 2
Kolbotn W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 2
Grei W 5
Bodo/Glimt W -
TBD -
Ovrevoll Hosle W 1
Frigg W 2
TBD -
Lyn W -
Fana W 3
Klepp W 2
Lyngbo W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 5
Forde W 0
Sogndal W 5
TBD -
Brann W -
Raufoss W 0
Viking W 2
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Grimstad W 1
Bryne W 3
Arendal W 0
Start W 7
Ranheim W 1
Tynset W 4
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Kolbotn W 0
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Sandefjord W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 3
KFUM Oslo W 0
Asane W 3
Rana FK W 1
Malvik W 3
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Alta W 3
Krokelvdalen W 0
TBD -
Roa W -
Stromsgodset W 1
Odds BK W 2
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Melbo W 1
Medkila W 8
Lillestrom W 1
Tromso W 9
Storhamar Fotball W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
Valerenga W -
TBD -
Hodd W 0
Kil/Hemne W 3
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Steinkjer W 0
Tiller W 4
TBD -
Molde W -
1/16-finals
Grei W 3
Bodo/Glimt W 1
Frigg W 0
Lyn W 4
Fana W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 1
Sogndal W 1
Brann W 5
Viking W 3
Haugesund W 2
Bryne W 1
Start W 2
Tynset W 0
LSK Kvinner W 3
Sarpsborg 08 W 0
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 1
Asane W 0
Malvik W 0
Rosenborg W 15
Alta W 0
Roa W 10
Odds BK W 0
Stabaek W 4
Medkila W 0
Tromso W 7
Ham-Kam W 1
Valerenga W 8
Kil/Hemne W 1
Aalesund W 6
Tiller W 1
Molde W 3
1/8-finals
Grei W 1
Lyn W 4
Fana W 0
Brann W 3
Viking W 3
Start W 0
LSK Kvinner W 2
Honefoss W 3
Arna-Bjornar W 4
Rosenborg W 0
Roa W 1
Stabaek W 2
Tromso W 1
Valerenga W 3
Aalesund W 5
Molde W 1
Quarter-finals
Lyn W 0
Brann W 2
Viking W 4
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 2
Stabaek W 3
Valerenga W 1
Aalesund W 2
Semi-finals
Brann W 3
Viking W 0
Stabaek W 3
Aalesund W 4
Final
Brann W 3
Aalesund W 1