Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Megasport Almaty vs Aktobe 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2007 Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2007 game between Megasport Almaty and Aktobe 2 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Megasport Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Megasport Almaty
39%
Draws
30%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Megasport Almaty carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Megasport Almaty Clean Sheet 11%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Megasport Almaty Aktobe 2
Matches Played 39 48
Wins 20 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2007 First League
Megasport Almaty vs Aktobe 2
4:0
Jun 29, 2007 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Megasport Almaty
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Megasport Almaty 30 / 100
Aktobe 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Megasport Almaty Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aktobe 2 conceded in 85% of 48 recent games.

Megasport Almaty's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Megasport Almaty went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aktobe 2
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Megasport Almaty

(Home)
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Megasport Almaty
01 Nov
Zhenis
0 : 1
Megasport Almaty
25 Oct
Megasport Almaty
1 : 6
Tobol
20 Oct
Megasport Almaty
3 : 0
Vostok Oskemen
16 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 2
Megasport Almaty
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Aktobe 2

(Away)
24 Jul
Aktobe 2
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
16 Jul
Taraz
1 : 1
Aktobe 2
09 Jul
Aktobe 2
5 : 2
Khan Tengri
02 Jul
Tobol 2
5 : 5
Aktobe 2
25 Jun
Aktobe 2
3 : 1
Arys
Page 1 of 10

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Megasport Almaty22211089:1064
2Akzhayik Uralsk22182257:1456
3Kaspij Aktau22134546:2343
4Aktobe 222114738:3237
5Zhetysu Taldykorgan 22285932:4629
6Gornyak Khromtay2276931:3927
7Ordabasy 222721338:5823
8Cesna Almaty22651133:3023
9Kaisar Kyzylorda 222651125:3823
10Zhambyl Taraz22461222:3818
11Zhastar Uralsk22511621:7016
12Munaily Atyrau22431527:6115
Promotion - First Division 2007 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Energetik Pavlodar26240262:1072
2Kazakhmys26223167:1469
3Aksu26184465:2558
4Avangard Petropavlovsk26135835:3444
5Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan261231147:3939
6Ertis Pavlodar 2261221250:4238
7Asbest Zitikara261051134:4235
8Shakhter Karagandy 226951230:3332
9Spartak Semey26781129:4929
10Shakhter Yunost26661425:3824
11Tobol 226581332:4923
12Vostok Oskemen 226551625:6120
13Rakhat Astana26461625:5618
14Batyr Ekibastuz26010168:4210
Promotion - First Division 2007 (Championship Group)