Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Megasport Almaty vs Gornyak Khromtay

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2007 Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Megasport Almaty in this First Division 2007 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Megasport Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Megasport Almaty
6%
Draws
4%
Gornyak Khromtay
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Megasport Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gornyak Khromtay haven't matched Megasport Almaty's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Megasport Almaty a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Megasport Almaty Clean Sheet 13%
Gornyak Khromtay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Megasport Almaty Gornyak Khromtay
Matches Played 39 41
Wins 20 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2007 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Megasport Almaty
0:6
Jun 8, 2007 First League
Megasport Almaty vs Gornyak Khromtay
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Megasport Almaty 84 / 100
Gornyak Khromtay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Megasport Almaty Gornyak Khromtay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornyak Khromtay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 41 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Gornyak Khromtay lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Megasport Almaty's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Megasport Almaty VS Gornyak Khromtay
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Megasport Almaty

(Home)
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Megasport Almaty
01 Nov
Zhenis
0 : 1
Megasport Almaty
25 Oct
Megasport Almaty
1 : 6
Tobol
20 Oct
Megasport Almaty
3 : 0
Vostok Oskemen
16 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 2
Megasport Almaty
Page 1 of 8

Gornyak Khromtay

(Away)
11 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3
FK Ayzharik Shimkent
08 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3
Taraz
30 Sept
Aktobe 2
3 : 0
Gornyak Khromtay
27 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gornyak Khromtay
19 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3
Avangard Petropavlovsk
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Megasport Almaty22211089:1064
2Akzhayik Uralsk22182257:1456
3Kaspij Aktau22134546:2343
4Aktobe 222114738:3237
5Zhetysu Taldykorgan 22285932:4629
6Gornyak Khromtay2276931:3927
7Ordabasy 222721338:5823
8Cesna Almaty22651133:3023
9Kaisar Kyzylorda 222651125:3823
10Zhambyl Taraz22461222:3818
11Zhastar Uralsk22511621:7016
12Munaily Atyrau22431527:6115
Promotion - First Division 2007 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Energetik Pavlodar26240262:1072
2Kazakhmys26223167:1469
3Aksu26184465:2558
4Avangard Petropavlovsk26135835:3444
5Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan261231147:3939
6Ertis Pavlodar 2261221250:4238
7Asbest Zitikara261051134:4235
8Shakhter Karagandy 226951230:3332
9Spartak Semey26781129:4929
10Shakhter Yunost26661425:3824
11Tobol 226581332:4923
12Vostok Oskemen 226551625:6120
13Rakhat Astana26461625:5618
14Batyr Ekibastuz26010168:4210
Promotion - First Division 2007 (Championship Group)