Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Megrine vs BS Bouhajla

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Laabidi Z.
71' Event
Louati A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Megrine and BS Bouhajla finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Megrine
35%
Draws
32%
BS Bouhajla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • BS Bouhajla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Megrine Clean Sheet 68%
BS Bouhajla Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Megrine BS Bouhajla
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Ligue 2
Megrine vs BS Bouhajla
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 2
BS Bouhajla vs Megrine
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Megrine Compare

Top Goalscorer Louati A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

BS Bouhajla Compare

Top Goalscorer Laabidi Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Megrine 41 / 100
BS Bouhajla 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Megrine BS Bouhajla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Megrine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Megrine has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

BS Bouhajla has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Megrine found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Megrine VS BS Bouhajla
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Megrine

(Home)
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2
Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1
Megrine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0
EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 6

BS Bouhajla

(Away)
26 Sept
ES Beni-Khalled
1 : 2
BS Bouhajla
21 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 3
Esperance Tunis
11 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 1
US Tataouine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0
Chebba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)