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Melaka FC vs Penang

Malaysia Malaysia

FA Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Wenzel-Halls D.
81' Event
Wenzel-Halls D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Penang advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Melaka FC
15%
Draws
65%
Penang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penang come out ahead of Melaka FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Penang arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Penang, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Penang here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Melaka FC Clean Sheet 20%
Penang Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melaka FC Penang
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 FA Cup
Penang vs Melaka FC
2:1
Sep 2, 2026 FA Cup
Melaka FC vs Penang
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Penang vs Melaka FC
5:0
Sep 15, 2025 FA Cup
Penang vs Melaka FC
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 FA Cup
Melaka FC vs Penang
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melaka FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Penang Compare

Top Goalscorer Wenzel-Halls D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melaka FC 32 / 100
Penang 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melaka FC Penang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melaka FC found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Penang has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Melaka FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Melaka FC VS Penang
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Melaka FC

(Home)
12 Sept
Melaka FC
1 : 2
Kuching City FC
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
06 Sept
Selangor
3 : 2
Melaka FC
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
30 Aug
Melaka FC
2 : 1
Negeri Sembilan FA
Page 1 of 6

Penang

(Away)
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
12 Sept
Penang
3 : 2
Kelantan Red Warrior
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
05 Sept
Terengganu
0 : 0
Penang
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Star City 2
Terengganu 4
DPMM 4
Kuching City FC 9
Melaka FC 0
Penang 5
Damansara 3
Johor DT 10
Kelantan The Real Warriors 3
Kuala Lumpur City 2
Bunga Raya FC 0
Sabah 6
Negeri Sembilan FA 5
PDRM FC 1
MUFT 1
Selangor 12
Quarter-finals
Terengganu 3
Kuching City FC 5
Penang 1
Johor DT 5
Kelantan The Real Warriors 2
Sabah 5
Negeri Sembilan FA 3
Selangor 6
Semi-finals
Kuching City FC 1
Johor DT 4
Sabah 6
Selangor 5
Final
Johor DT 5
Sabah 0