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Melbo vs Junkeren

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2020
Sun, Sep 27, 2020
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Melbo host Junkeren in the Division 3 - Group 6 2020. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Melbo at 1 goals for, 1.87 against; Junkeren at 2.15 for, 1.7 against. Head-to-head, Melbo have won 2 to Junkeren's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2021, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.42 - 1.18) back Junkeren to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Melbo
30%
Draws
58%
Junkeren
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Junkeren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Junkeren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Junkeren are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Melbo Clean Sheet 20%
Junkeren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbo Junkeren
Matches Played 15 27
Wins 4 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2021 Division 3 - Group 6
Junkeren vs Melbo
2:3
Sep 27, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Junkeren
0:0
Aug 30, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Junkeren vs Melbo
0:0
Sep 1, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Junkeren
2:0
Jul 27, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Junkeren vs Melbo
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbo 28 / 100
Junkeren 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbo Junkeren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Junkeren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Junkeren conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Melbo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (15 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Melbo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Junkeren
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbo

(Home)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
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Junkeren

(Away)
06 Sept
Lorenskog
1 : 1
Junkeren
30 Aug
Junkeren
2 : 2
Stjordals Blink
23 Aug
Floya
5 : 3
Junkeren
16 Aug
Kjelsas
2 : 0
Junkeren
08 Aug
Junkeren
4 : 1
Follo
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