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Melbo vs Medkila

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 11 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 11 2015 game between Melbo and Medkila finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melbo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Melbo
20%
Draws
64%
Medkila
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Medkila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Melbo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 11 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Melbo Clean Sheet 20%
Medkila Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbo Medkila
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 10 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.5 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.77 3.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Melbo vs Medkila
1:2
Jun 24, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Medkila vs Melbo
0:2
Oct 3, 2015 Division 3 - Group 11
Melbo vs Medkila
2:1
Jun 18, 2015 Division 3 - Group 11
Medkila vs Melbo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbo 31 / 100
Medkila 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbo Medkila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melbo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbo's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Medkila let in goals in 97% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Medkila registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melbo VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbo

(Home)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
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Medkila

(Away)
08 Oct
Medkila
2 : 5
Mjolner
01 Oct
Melbo
1 : 2
Medkila
23 Sept
Medkila
2 : 4
Sandnessjoen
17 Sept
Sortland
4 : 0
Medkila
10 Sept
Medkila
4 : 4
Stalkam
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