Sport Picks
Match Events
90'
90'
Kleczka I.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Sortland in this NM Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sortland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
16%
/ Low Confidence
- Melbo haven't matched Sortland's recent run of results.
- Model gives Melbo a 16% chance of winning this.
- Sortland arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sortland, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Melbo Clean Sheet 20%
Sortland Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Melbo | Sortland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 3.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2025 NM Cup
Melbo vs Sortland
0:1
Oct 27, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Sortland vs Melbo
1:1
Jul 29, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Sortland
4:0
Oct 8, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Sortland vs Melbo
3:1
Jul 2, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Melbo vs Sortland
3:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Melbo 40 / 100
Sortland 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Melbo Sortland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Melbo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sortland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Melbo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (15 games).
Sortland's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sortland
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Melbo
(Home) 13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1 Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3 Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0 Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1 Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1 Melbo
Page 1 of 3
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1 Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3 Bodo/Glimt 2
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1 Skeid 2
02 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1 Rana FK
26 Sept
Melbo
1 : 4 Tromso 2
Page 1 of 2
Sortland
(Away) 26 Oct
Alta 2
7 : 1 Sortland
18 Oct
Sortland
0 : 4 Harstad
11 Oct
Sortland
1 : 4 Gamle Oslo
04 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1 Sortland
27 Sept
Sortland
4 : 1 Skjervoy
Page 1 of 6
26 Oct
Alta 2
7 : 1 Sortland
04 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1 Sortland
20 Sept
Ulfstind
3 : 2 Sortland
07 Sept
Ullern
4 : 2 Sortland
24 Aug
Frigg
10 : 0 Sortland
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
NHHI 1
Sandviken 3
Volda 1
Sogndal 2
Elverum 2
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ridabu 0
Kongsvinger 12
Melbo 0
Sortland 1
Ulfstind 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Trygg/Lade 0
Strindheim 1
Rindal 1
Rosenborg 11
FK Kvik 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Sverresborg IF 2
Ranheim 4
Vindbjart 0
Jerv 3
Eiger 1
Egersund 7
Gamle Oslo 2
Valerenga 1
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Sarpsborg 08 4
Orn 2
Arendal 1
Teie 0
Sandefjord 5
Nordstrand 3
Ull/Kisa 4
Rollon 0
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 2
Harstad 1
Innstrandens 0
Bodo/Glimt 8
Oppsal 0
Kjelsas 1
Rade 1
Lyn 2
Frigg 1
Lorenskog 3
Lillehammer 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 4
Fana 2
Gneist IL 0
Lysekloster 2
Djerv 1919 2
Sotra 3
Askoy 1
Asane 5
Ullern 2
Follo 5
Kvik Halden 1
Moss 3
Brodd 1
Flekkeroy 3
Hana 0
Viking 6
Fram 4
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Notodden 0
Stabaek 3
Vidar 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Nord 0
Haugesund 11
Bjorkelangen 1
Strommen 6
Brumunddal 1
Raufoss 4
Assiden 1
Mjondalen 4
Konnerud 0
Stromsgodset 5
Verdal 0
Levanger 8
Mosjoen 0
Rana FK 4
Spjelkavik 0
Traeff 2
Elnesvagen 0
Molde 7
Bjornevatn IL 0
Alta 11
Union Carl Berner 0
Skeid 3
Byasen 3
Nardo 5
Melhus 1
Kristiansund 5
Baerum 3
Grorud 4
Brattvag 1
Hodd 2
Skedsmo 0
Eidsvold TF 5
Skjetten 0
Lillestrom 5
Honefoss 0
Pors 1
Vag 2
Start 4
Flint 3
Odds BK 2
Sarpsborg FK 0
Fredrikstad 4
Torvastad IL 2
V. Haugesund 0
Varhaug 0
Bryne 4
Fjora 1
Bjarg 3
Varegg 0
Brann 6
Skjervoy 2
Floya 1
Hamna 0
Tromso 10
Ready 4
Asker 3
Grei 1
KFUM Oslo 5
1/32-finals
Sandviken 0
Sogndal 4
Elverum 2
Kongsvinger 7
Sortland 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
Strindheim 0
Rosenborg 3
Stjordals Blink 1
Ranheim 2
Jerv 0
Egersund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Sarpsborg 08 6
Orn 0
Sandefjord 2
Ull/Kisa 2
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 5
Kjelsas 0
Lyn 3
Lorenskog 0
Ham-Kam 1
OS TF 5
Lysekloster 4
Sotra 0
Asane 2
Follo 2
Moss 3
Flekkeroy 0
Viking 3
Fram 0
Stabaek 4
Vidar 1
Haugesund 2
Strommen 2
Raufoss 1
Mjondalen 2
Stromsgodset 1
Levanger 1
Rana FK 2
Traeff 1
Molde 2
Alta 3
Skeid 0
Nardo 1
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 3
Hodd 1
Eidsvold TF 0
Lillestrom 2
Pors 3
Start 2
Flint 0
Fredrikstad 5
Torvastad IL 1
Bryne 2
Bjarg 0
Brann 2
Skjervoy 0
Tromso 1
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 3
1/16-finals
Sogndal 3
Kongsvinger 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Rosenborg 5
Ranheim 2
Egersund 3
Sarpsborg 08 3
Sandefjord 1
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 0
Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 1
Asane 4
Moss 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Haugesund 1
Strommen 1
Mjondalen 3
Rana FK 0
Molde 4
Alta 0
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
Pors 1
Fredrikstad 3
Bryne 2
Brann 1
Tromso 0
KFUM Oslo 1
1/8-finals
Kongsvinger 2
Rosenborg 3
Egersund 1
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 3
Ham-Kam 2
Asane 0
Viking 7
Stabaek 4
Mjondalen 3
Molde 3
Kristiansund 4
Lillestrom 2
Fredrikstad 1
Bryne 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Quarter-finals
Rosenborg 2
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Kristiansund 3
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 0
Semi-finals
Sarpsborg 08 1
Viking 0
Kristiansund 0
Lillestrom 2
Final
Sarpsborg 08 1
Lillestrom 3
