Sport Picks
Melbourne City U21 vs Green Gully
Australia
NPL Victoria Casey Fields, Cranbourne East 
Match Events
10'
10'
Payendeh Y.
86'
86'
Savva A.
90'
90'
Habib B.
AI Match Summary
Green Gully in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Green Gully.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Green Gully
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Melbourne City U21 lately — more wins on the board than Green Gully.
- Win probability leans Green Gully's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Melbourne City U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Melbourne City U21 | Green Gully |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 NPL Victoria
Melbourne City U21 vs Green Gully
1:2
May 15, 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Melbourne City U21
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Melbourne City U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Payendeh Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Green Gully Compare
Top Goalscorer Savva A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Habib B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Melbourne City U21 10 / 100
Green Gully 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Melbourne City U21 Green Gully
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Green Gully Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Green Gully's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Melbourne City U21 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Green Gully lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Melbourne City U21 VS Green Gully
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Melbourne City U21
(Home) 29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2 Green Gully
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6 Bentleigh Greens
19 Aug
Preston Lions
4 : 0 Melbourne City U21
15 Aug
Melbourne City U21
0 : 3 South Melbourne
01 Aug
Hume City
1 : 0 Melbourne City U21
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2 Green Gully
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6 Bentleigh Greens
15 Aug
Melbourne City U21
0 : 3 South Melbourne
25 Jul
Melbourne City U21
2 : 3 Avondale FC
11 Jul
Melbourne City U21
2 : 2 Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 4
Green Gully
(Away) 29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2 Green Gully
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2 St Albans
14 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
4 : 1 Green Gully
31 Jul
Preston Lions
2 : 2 Green Gully
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0 Dandenong City SC
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2 Green Gully
14 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
4 : 1 Green Gully
31 Jul
Preston Lions
2 : 2 Green Gully
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Green Gully
20 Jun
Hume City
3 : 2 Green Gully
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 56:24 | 54 |
| 2 | Hume City | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51:36 | 49 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 65:34 | 47 |
| 4 | South Melbourne | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 42:34 | 40 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 41:19 | 39 |
| 7 | George Cross | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 35:34 | 38 |
| 8 | St Albans | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36:43 | 34 |
| 9 | Dandenong City SC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:31 | 33 |
| 10 | Melbourne City U21 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:42 | 28 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:51 | 24 |
| 13 | Green Gully | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:52 | 18 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 23:65 | 15 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
