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Melbourne City vs Palermo

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Le Douaron J.
41'
Bonetig L.
46'
Sub
Joronen J. In: Fortin M.
Out: Joronen J.

AI Match Summary

Palermo in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Melbourne City
15%
Draws
58%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Palermo have won more games recently than Melbourne City.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Palermo taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Melbourne City Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbourne City Palermo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.17 2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Melbourne City vs Palermo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melbourne City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Douaron J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peda P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbourne City 14 / 100
Palermo 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbourne City Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbourne City scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Palermo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Melbourne City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Melbourne City VS Palermo
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbourne City

(Home)
25 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
0 : 2
Melbourne City
11 Aug
Queensland Lions
2 : 0
Melbourne City
07 Aug
Melbourne City
0 : 2
Palermo
26 Jul
Weston Workers Bears
0 : 3
Melbourne City
02 May
Auckland FC
2 : 1
Melbourne City
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Palermo

(Away)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
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