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Melbourne City W vs Brisbane Roar W

Australia Australia

A-League Women Ctrl cyber Pitch
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Stephenson K.
Assist: Medwin A.
13' Event
Stephenson K.
36' Event
Stott R.

AI Match Summary

The A-League Women game between Melbourne City W and Brisbane Roar W finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melbourne City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Melbourne City W
39%
Draws
30%
Brisbane Roar W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melbourne City W come out ahead of Brisbane Roar W on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Melbourne City W Clean Sheet 18%
Brisbane Roar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbourne City W Brisbane Roar W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 A-League Women
Melbourne City W vs Brisbane Roar W
5:2
Jan 20, 2026 A-League Women
Brisbane Roar W vs Melbourne City W
1:1
Mar 26, 2025 A-League Women
Brisbane Roar W vs Melbourne City W
0:4
Jan 11, 2025 A-League Women
Melbourne City W vs Brisbane Roar W
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 A-League Women
Brisbane Roar W vs Melbourne City W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melbourne City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stott R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McNamara H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Brisbane Roar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephenson K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbourne City W 32 / 100
Brisbane Roar W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbourne City W Brisbane Roar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbourne City W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Brisbane Roar W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Melbourne City W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Melbourne City W VS Brisbane Roar W
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Melbourne City W20124436:2040
2Wellington Phoenix W20104638:1734
3Canberra W2094730:2431
4Brisbane Roar W2094737:3931
5Adelaide W2093824:2630
6Melbourne Victory W2084827:2428
7Central Coast W2077627:2628
8Perth W20731020:3024
9Newcastle W20721130:3623
10Sydney W2047918:2919
11Western Sydney Wanderers W20541118:3419