Sport Picks
Melbourne City W vs Wellington Phoenix W
Australia
A-League Women Ctrl cyber Pitch, Melbourne 
Match Events
45'
45'
McMahon S.
58'
58'
Sub
Bhandari S. In: Main E.
Out: Bhandari S.
64'
64'
Sub
McKenna L. In: Uchendu C.
Out: McKenna L.
AI Match Summary
The A-League Women game between Melbourne City W and Wellington Phoenix W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melbourne City W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Melbourne City W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Wellington Phoenix W haven't matched Melbourne City W's recent run of results.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Melbourne City W taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Melbourne City W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Melbourne City W Clean Sheet 20%
Wellington Phoenix W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Melbourne City W | Wellington Phoenix W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 31 |
| Wins | 27 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 A-League Women
Melbourne City W vs Wellington Phoenix W
3:1
Jan 10, 2026 A-League Women
Wellington Phoenix W vs Melbourne City W
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 A-League Women
Melbourne City W vs Wellington Phoenix W
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 A-League Women
Wellington Phoenix W vs Melbourne City W
0:1
Dec 28, 2024 A-League Women
Melbourne City W vs Wellington Phoenix W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Melbourne City W Compare
Top Goalscorer Stott R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Wellington Phoenix W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Melbourne City W 67 / 100
Wellington Phoenix W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Melbourne City W Wellington Phoenix W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Melbourne City W scored in 90% of their last 40 games.
Wellington Phoenix W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Melbourne City W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Melbourne City W VS Wellington Phoenix W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Melbourne City W
(Home) 20 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 3 Beleza W
16 May
Melbourne City W
3 : 1 Wellington Phoenix W
09 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 0 Melbourne Victory W
02 May
Melbourne Victory W
0 : 1 Melbourne City W
05 Apr
Newcastle W
1 : 2 Melbourne City W
Page 1 of 8
20 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 3 Beleza W
16 May
Melbourne City W
3 : 1 Wellington Phoenix W
09 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 0 Melbourne Victory W
29 Mar
Melbourne City W
2 : 1 Nasaf Qarshi W
18 Mar
Melbourne City W
0 : 0 Adelaide W
Page 1 of 5
Wellington Phoenix W
(Away) 16 May
Melbourne City W
3 : 1 Wellington Phoenix W
10 May
Wellington Phoenix W
2 : 0 Brisbane Roar W
03 May
Brisbane Roar W
2 : 1 Wellington Phoenix W
03 Apr
Adelaide W
0 : 2 Wellington Phoenix W
29 Mar
Wellington Phoenix W
0 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers W
Page 1 of 7
16 May
Melbourne City W
3 : 1 Wellington Phoenix W
03 May
Brisbane Roar W
2 : 1 Wellington Phoenix W
03 Apr
Adelaide W
0 : 2 Wellington Phoenix W
25 Mar
Central Coast W
2 : 1 Wellington Phoenix W
20 Mar
Sydney W
1 : 3 Wellington Phoenix W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36:20 | 40 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38:17 | 34 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | 31 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37:39 | 31 |
| 5 | Adelaide W | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast W | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 8 | Perth W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | 24 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30:36 | 23 |
| 10 | Sydney W | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:29 | 19 |
| 11 | Western Sydney Wanderers W | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | 19 |
Promotion - A-League Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League Women (Play Offs)