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Melbourne Srbija vs Port Melbourne Sharks

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Miyakawa R.
77'
Talevski N.

AI Match Summary

Port Melbourne Sharks in this Victoria Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Port Melbourne Sharks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Melbourne Srbija
6%
Draws
4%
Port Melbourne Sharks
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Melbourne Srbija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Melbourne Srbija lately — more wins on the board than Port Melbourne Sharks.
  • Melbourne Srbija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Melbourne Srbija Clean Sheet 68%
Port Melbourne Sharks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbourne Srbija Port Melbourne Sharks
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Srbija vs Port Melbourne Sharks
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Port Melbourne Sharks vs Melbourne Srbija
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melbourne Srbija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Port Melbourne Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyakawa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbourne Srbija 95 / 100
Port Melbourne Sharks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbourne Srbija Port Melbourne Sharks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Port Melbourne Sharks conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Melbourne Srbija scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Melbourne Srbija went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Melbourne Srbija VS Port Melbourne Sharks
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbourne Srbija

(Home)
18 Jul
Melbourne Srbija
0 : 1
Port Melbourne Sharks
11 Jul
Melbourne Srbija
0 : 1
Manningham United Blues
03 Jul
Northcote City
2 : 3
Melbourne Srbija
20 Jun
Melbourne Srbija
2 : 0
Melbourne Knights
13 Jun
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 2
Melbourne Srbija
Page 1 of 6

Port Melbourne Sharks

(Away)
18 Jul
Melbourne Srbija
0 : 1
Port Melbourne Sharks
11 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 5
North Sunshine Eagles
04 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
1 : 1
Port Melbourne Sharks
19 Jun
Langwarrin
5 : 0
Port Melbourne Sharks
13 Jun
Western United U21
0 : 0
Port Melbourne Sharks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Melbourne Knights21142537:1644
2Brunswick Juventus21140741:3042
3Northcote City21124537:2340
4Melbourne Victory U2121104750:3534
5Bulleen2196637:2933
6Eltham Redbacks2195749:3632
7Manningham United Blues2193937:4130
8Melbourne Srbija2092924:2329
9North Geelong Warriors20911033:3928
10Western United U2121811244:5425
11Brunswick City21731136:4424
12Langwarrin21651036:4623
13North Sunshine Eagles21541229:3719
14Port Melbourne Sharks21341411:4813
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)