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Melbourne Victory U21 vs Eltham Redbacks

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Victory U21 Logo

Melbourne Victory U21

2 - 0
FT
Eltham Redbacks Logo

Eltham Redbacks

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mihailidis J.
(Penalty)
79' Event
Dunbar B.
90'
Koc A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Melbourne Victory U21
15%
Draws
37%
Eltham Redbacks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melbourne Victory U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Melbourne Victory U21 lately — more wins on the board than Eltham Redbacks.
  • Win probability leans Melbourne Victory U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Melbourne Victory U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Melbourne Victory U21, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Melbourne Victory U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Melbourne Victory U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Eltham Redbacks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbourne Victory U21 Eltham Redbacks
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.13 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Victory U21 vs Eltham Redbacks
2:0
May 22, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Eltham Redbacks vs Melbourne Victory U21
3:3
Feb 16, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Victory U21 vs Eltham Redbacks
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melbourne Victory U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunbar B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Eltham Redbacks Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbourne Victory U21 83 / 100
Eltham Redbacks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbourne Victory U21 Eltham Redbacks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melbourne Victory U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbourne Victory U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Eltham Redbacks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Melbourne Victory U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Melbourne Victory U21 VS Eltham Redbacks
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbourne Victory U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
1 : 2
Northcote City
11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
4 : 0
Port Melbourne Sharks
23 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 3
Melbourne Victory U21
17 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
0 : 1
Northcote City
Page 1 of 6

Eltham Redbacks

(Away)
11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
2 : 2
Melbourne Knights
22 Aug
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 2
Eltham Redbacks
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0
Manningham United Blues
31 Jul
Northcote City
1 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Melbourne Victory U21 2
Eltham Redbacks 0
Northcote City 3
Bulleen 2
Final
Melbourne Victory U21 1
Northcote City 2