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Melbourne Victory W vs Adelaide W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

A-League Women
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Melbourne Victory W host Adelaide W in the A-League Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Melbourne Victory W at 1.45 goals for, 1.03 against; Adelaide W at 1.33 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Melbourne Victory W slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.00) point toward Melbourne Victory W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Melbourne Victory W
15%
Draws
12%
Adelaide W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melbourne Victory W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Melbourne Victory W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Melbourne Victory W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Melbourne Victory W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Melbourne Victory W Clean Sheet 20%
Adelaide W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbourne Victory W Adelaide W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 A-League Women
Adelaide W vs Melbourne Victory W
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 A-League Women
Melbourne Victory W vs Adelaide W
1:0
May 10, 2025 A-League Women
Melbourne Victory W vs Adelaide W
3:1
May 4, 2025 A-League Women
Adelaide W vs Melbourne Victory W
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 A-League Women
Melbourne Victory W vs Adelaide W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbourne Victory W 85 / 100
Adelaide W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbourne Victory W Adelaide W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melbourne Victory W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbourne Victory W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Adelaide W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Adelaide W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Melbourne Victory W VS Adelaide W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbourne Victory W

(Home)
09 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 0
Melbourne Victory W
02 May
Melbourne Victory W
0 : 1
Melbourne City W
25 Apr
Canberra W
1 : 3
Melbourne Victory W
03 Apr
Perth W
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory W
28 Mar
Sydney W
2 : 1
Melbourne Victory W
Page 1 of 7

Adelaide W

(Away)
25 Apr
Brisbane Roar W
3 : 0
Adelaide W
03 Apr
Adelaide W
0 : 2
Wellington Phoenix W
28 Mar
Adelaide W
1 : 3
Newcastle W
22 Mar
Canberra W
3 : 2
Adelaide W
18 Mar
Melbourne City W
0 : 0
Adelaide W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Brisbane Roar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newcastle W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Canberra W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sydney W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Melbourne Victory W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Perth W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Western Sydney Wanderers W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Melbourne City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Wellington Phoenix W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Central Coast W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A-League Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League Women (Play Offs)