Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Ingrosso G.
11'
11'
Lodesani D.
12'
12'
Sub
De Giosa R. In: Romeo S.
Out: De Giosa R.
AI Match Summary
Matera in this Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Matera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Matera lately — more wins on the board than Melfi.
- Matera are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Melfi Clean Sheet 20%
Matera Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Melfi | Matera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2017 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Matera
0:3
Dec 17, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Matera vs Melfi
6:0
Apr 9, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Matera vs Melfi
2:3
Nov 28, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Matera
2:2
May 3, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Matera vs Melfi
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Melfi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Matera Compare
Top Goalscorer Ingrosso G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Armellino M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Melfi 24 / 100
Matera 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Melfi Matera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Melfi's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Matera let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.
Melfi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Melfi VS Matera
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Melfi
(Home) 28 May
Akragas
1 : 1 Melfi
21 May
Melfi
0 : 0 Akragas
07 May
Melfi
0 : 3 Matera
30 Apr
Foggia
1 : 0 Melfi
23 Apr
Melfi
1 : 0 Taranto
Page 1 of 6
21 May
Melfi
0 : 0 Akragas
07 May
Melfi
0 : 3 Matera
23 Apr
Melfi
1 : 0 Taranto
05 Apr
Melfi
0 : 1 Vibonese
26 Mar
Melfi
0 : 0 Akragas
Page 1 of 3
Matera
(Away) 04 May
Matera
2 : 2 Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4 Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1 Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2 Matera
Page 1 of 7
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4 Matera
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2 Matera
23 Mar
Citta di Fasano
6 : 1 Matera
02 Mar
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Matera
16 Feb
Casarano
5 : 0 Matera
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Foggia | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 70:29 | 85 |
| 2 | Lecce | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 62:36 | 74 |
| 3 | Matera | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 71:44 | 65 |
| 4 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:43 | 64 |
| 5 | Virtus Francavilla | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:45 | 57 |
| 6 | Siracusa | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 57 |
| 7 | Cosenza | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 57:46 | 55 |
| 8 | Paganese | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 9 | Casertana | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 38:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Fondi | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Catania | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 40:36 | 47 |
| 12 | Fidelis Andria | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 30:33 | 47 |
| 13 | Reggina | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 44:54 | 45 |
| 14 | ACR Messina | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 44 |
| 15 | Monopoli | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 42:54 | 42 |
| 16 | Akragas | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 30:47 | 39 |
| 17 | Vibonese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 27:46 | 39 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 36:49 | 38 |
| 19 | Melfi | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 38:68 | 34 |
| 20 | Taranto | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 25:49 | 30 |
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
