Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H game between Melfi and Nocerina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nocerina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Nocerina come out ahead of Melfi on wins alone.
- Nocerina are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Melfi | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.52 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Melfi Compare
Nocerina Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nocerina has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Melfi scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Melfi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Melfi
(Home)Nocerina
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Bisceglie | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Turris | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Gravina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Real Normanna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Brindisi | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 11 | Real Forio 2014 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 12 | San Felice Gladiator | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Palmese 1914 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Melfi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Fidelis Andria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Ischia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | 2 |
