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Melfi vs Taranto

Italy Italy

Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017
Melfi Logo

Melfi

1 - 0
FT
Taranto Logo

Taranto

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Balzano F.
31'
Marano F.
49'
Lo Sicco F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Melfi in this Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melfi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Melfi
20%
Draws
0%
Taranto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Melfi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Melfi have won more games recently than Taranto.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Melfi Clean Sheet 20%
Taranto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melfi Taranto
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 1
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1 0.45
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Taranto
1:0
Dec 6, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Melfi
2:0
Aug 17, 2016 Coppa Italia Serie C
Taranto vs Melfi
2:1
May 28, 2006 Serie C2/C
Taranto vs Melfi
2:0
May 21, 2006 Serie C2/C
Melfi vs Taranto
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melfi 32 / 100
Taranto 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melfi Taranto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taranto lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Melfi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Taranto has conceded goals in 77% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Taranto
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Melfi

(Home)
28 May
Akragas
1 : 1
Melfi
21 May
Melfi
0 : 0
Akragas
07 May
Melfi
0 : 3
Matera
30 Apr
Foggia
1 : 0
Melfi
23 Apr
Melfi
1 : 0
Taranto
Page 1 of 6

Taranto

(Away)
21 Feb
Picerno
7 : 0
Taranto
14 Feb
Taranto
0 : 3
Foggia
08 Feb
Sorrento
6 : 0
Taranto
03 Feb
Taranto
0 : 6
Casertana
27 Jan
Altamura
5 : 1
Taranto
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Foggia 38 25 10 3 70:29 85
2 Lecce 38 21 11 6 62:36 74
3 Matera 38 18 11 9 71:44 65
4 Juve Stabia 38 18 10 10 65:43 64
5 Virtus Francavilla 38 16 9 13 47:45 57
6 Siracusa 38 16 9 13 47:43 57
7 Cosenza 38 15 10 13 57:46 55
8 Paganese 38 14 9 15 51:45 50
9 Casertana 38 13 12 13 38:42 49
10 Fondi 38 11 17 10 49:46 49
11 Catania 38 14 12 12 40:36 47
12 Fidelis Andria 38 10 17 11 30:33 47
13 Reggina 38 10 15 13 44:54 45
14 ACR Messina 38 12 10 16 38:52 44
15 Monopoli 38 9 15 14 42:54 42
16 Akragas 38 9 12 17 30:47 39
17 Vibonese 38 9 12 17 27:46 39
18 Catanzaro 38 9 11 18 36:49 38
19 Melfi 38 9 8 21 38:68 34
20 Taranto 38 6 12 20 25:49 30
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)