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Melhus vs Aalesund 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Melhus host Aalesund 2 in the Division 3 - Group 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Melhus at 2.22 goals for, 1.44 against; Aalesund 2 at 1.97 for, 2.5 against. Past meetings favor Melhus slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (2.56 xG vs 1.63) point toward Melhus. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Melhus
15%
Draws
34%
Aalesund 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Melhus have won more games recently than Aalesund 2.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Melhus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Melhus Clean Sheet 14%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melhus Aalesund 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.22 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
1:3
Jul 5, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Aalesund 2
5:0
Oct 23, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
3:2
Oct 24, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melhus 84 / 100
Aalesund 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melhus Aalesund 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Melhus found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Aalesund 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Melhus VS Aalesund 2
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Melhus

(Home)
02 Oct
Rosenborg 2
1 : 4
Melhus
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
20 Sept
Molde 2
1 : 0
Melhus
12 Sept
Melhus
1 : 2
Volda
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
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Aalesund 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Aalesund 2
1 : 3
Ntnui
25 Sept
Aalesund 2
1 : 7
Rosenborg 2
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
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