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Melhus vs Herd

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Alseth O.
59' Event
Alseth O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Melhus and Herd finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Melhus
15%
Draws
34%
Herd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Melhus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Melhus Clean Sheet 10%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melhus Herd
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Herd vs Melhus
1:4
Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Herd
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Alseth O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Herd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melhus 30 / 100
Herd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melhus Herd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melhus's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Herd let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Herd's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Melhus VS Herd
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Melhus

(Home)
12 Sept
Melhus
1 : 2
Volda
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Melhus
0 : 1
Strindheim
22 Aug
Melhus
0 : 3
Stjordals Blink
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
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Herd

(Away)
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Ntnui
2 : 1
Herd
15 Aug
Herd
9 : 0
Ranheim 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
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