Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Melhus vs Kolstad

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Troen T.
72' Event
Troen T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Melhus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Melhus
15%
Draws
20%
Kolstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Kolstad haven't matched Melhus's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Melhus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Melhus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kolstad, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Melhus Clean Sheet 16%
Kolstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melhus Kolstad
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 22 3
Draws 8 1
Losses 7 26
Goals Scored 2.62 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.46 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2023 NM Cup
Melhus vs Kolstad
2:0
Aug 20, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Melhus
2:0
May 28, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Kolstad
1:4
Aug 28, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Kolstad
0:5
Sep 19, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Melhus
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Troen T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Kolstad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melhus 84 / 100
Kolstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melhus Kolstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melhus scored in 89% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Kolstad conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Melhus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Melhus VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Melhus

(Home)
22 Aug
Melhus
0 : 3
Stjordals Blink
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Melhus
8 : 3
Orkla
03 Aug
FK Kvik
1 : 1
Melhus
25 Jul
Melhus
2 : 0
Herd
Page 1 of 8

Kolstad

(Away)
29 Oct
Nardo
8 : 0
Kolstad
22 Oct
Kolstad
4 : 2
Mosjoen
14 Oct
Byasen
17 : 0
Kolstad
07 Oct
Kolstad
0 : 3
Tiller
30 Sept
Strindheim
3 : 0
Kolstad
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Follo 2
Kjelsas 3
Assiden 0
Stabaek 4
Randesund 0
Arendal 8
Mandalskameratene 0
Jerv 3
Gjellerasen 2
Lorenskog 1
Honefoss 1
KFUM Oslo 4
Bjarg 2
Fana 3
Loddefjord 2
Asane 3
Eidsvold TF 2
Strommen 3
Drammens BK 1
Mjondalen 5
Skjetten 0
Grorud 3
Brumunddal 1
Raufoss 4
Flint 0
Orn 4
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Fredrikstad 3
Brodd 1
Vidar 2
Forus og Gausel 0
Viking 5
Orkla 0
Levanger 5
Tomrefjord 0
Kristiansund 2
Melhus 2
Kolstad 0
Surnadal 0
Molde 4
V. Haugesund 3
Egersund 1
Rosseland 1
Bryne 3
Eik-Tonsberg 3
Sandefjord 2
Heming 0
Stromsgodset 1
Lysekloster 1
OS TF 0
Forde 1
Sogndal 3
Krakeroy 1
Kvik Halden 2
Drobak-Frogn 1
Moss 2
Frigg 4
Ullern 1
Funnefoss/Vormsund 1
Sarpsborg 08 3
Pors 0
Notodden 2
Uradd 1
Odds BK 7
Rana FK 0
Stjordals Blink 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Rosenborg 1
Lokomotiv Oslo 5
Ull/Kisa 6
Skedsmo 0
Lillestrom 4
Fyllingsdalen 1
Sotra 3
Djerv 1919 1
Sandnes Ulf 6
Nordstrand 0
Lyn 1
Rade 0
Valerenga 1
Herd 1
Brattvag 2
Spjelkavik 0
Hodd 5
Stord 3
Sandviken 1
Staal Jorpeland 1
Haugesund 2
Nardo 0
Byasen 1
Eid 0
Aalesund 4
Fjora 4
Floro 0
Froya 0
Brann 5
Elverum 1
Gjovik-Lyn 5
Lillehammer 3
Kongsvinger 5
Halsen 2
Fram 0
Flekkeroy 0
Start 2
Asker 0
Baerum 2
Holmlia 0
Skeid 2
Mjolner 5
Harstad 3
Nybergsund 0
Ham-Kam 5
Strindheim 4
Traeff 3
Verdal 1
Ranheim 4
Junkeren 5
Innstrandens 0
Mosjoen 0
Bodo/Glimt 3
Finnsnes 1
Skjervoy 3
Alta 7
Bossekop 0
Floya 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
HIF Stein 0
Tromso 8
1/32-finals
Kjelsas 3
Stabaek 1
Arendal 0
Jerv 1
Gjellerasen 1
KFUM Oslo 2
Fana 0
Asane 1
Strommen 1
Mjondalen 3
Grorud 1
Raufoss 2
Orn 0
Fredrikstad 1
Vidar 0
Viking 2
Levanger 0
Kristiansund 2
Melhus 0
Molde 6
V. Haugesund 3
Bryne 1
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Stromsgodset 2
Lysekloster 1
Sogndal 2
Kvik Halden 0
Moss 2
Frigg 3
Sarpsborg 08 5
Notodden 2
Odds BK 5
Stjordals Blink 2
Rosenborg 1
Ull/Kisa 3
Lillestrom 2
Sotra 2
Sandnes Ulf 1
Lyn 1
Valerenga 2
Brattvag 1
Hodd 0
Stord 1
Haugesund 3
Byasen 1
Aalesund 6
Fjora 1
Brann 8
Gjovik-Lyn 4
Kongsvinger 3
Halsen 0
Start 3
Baerum 3
Skeid 0
Mjolner 0
Ham-Kam 8
Strindheim 1
Ranheim 3
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Skjervoy 2
Alta 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Tromso 2
1/16-finals
Kjelsas 2
Jerv 1
KFUM Oslo 4
Asane 2
Mjondalen 0
Raufoss 4
Fredrikstad 1
Viking 2
Kristiansund 0
Molde 1
V. Haugesund 1
Stromsgodset 4
Sogndal 2
Moss 0
Sarpsborg 08 3
Odds BK 1
Stjordals Blink 3
Ull/Kisa 2
Sotra 0
Valerenga 2
Brattvag 2
Haugesund 1
Aalesund 3
Brann 4
Gjovik-Lyn 1
Start 0
Baerum 1
Ham-Kam 3
Ranheim 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Alta 0
Tromso 1
1/8-finals
Kjelsas 2
KFUM Oslo 0
Raufoss 5
Viking 4
Molde 3
Stromsgodset 0
Sogndal 3
Sarpsborg 08 4
Stjordals Blink 0
Valerenga 5
Brattvag 1
Brann 7
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 5
Bodo/Glimt 3
Tromso 2
Quarter-finals
Kjelsas 2
Raufoss 1
Molde 3
Sarpsborg 08 1
Valerenga 3
Brann 2
Ham-Kam 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Semi-finals
Kjelsas 0
Molde 1
Valerenga 2
Bodo/Glimt 4
Final
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 0