Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Melhus vs Orkla

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Totland P.
15' Event
Fagerthun S.
Own Goal
22' Event
Kaplanski O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Melhus and Orkla finished 8-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Melhus
20%
Draws
22%
Orkla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melhus come out ahead of Orkla on wins alone.
  • Model gives Melhus a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Melhus Clean Sheet 68%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melhus Orkla
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 2.66 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Orkla
8:3
May 22, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Orkla vs Melhus
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Orkla vs Melhus
2:8
May 4, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Melhus vs Orkla
0:3
Oct 8, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Orkla
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Totland P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaplanski O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Talleras M. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marthinussen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melhus 95 / 100
Orkla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melhus Orkla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melhus scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Orkla conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Melhus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melhus VS Orkla
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Melhus

(Home)
08 Aug
Melhus
8 : 3
Orkla
03 Aug
FK Kvik
1 : 1
Melhus
25 Jul
Melhus
2 : 0
Herd
25 Jun
Strindheim
2 : 1
Melhus
19 Jun
Melhus
1 : 1
Rosenborg 2
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Orkla

(Away)
08 Aug
Melhus
8 : 3
Orkla
03 Aug
Orkla
1 : 2
Rosenborg 2
25 Jul
Aalesund 2
4 : 2
Orkla
27 Jun
Orkla
3 : 5
Molde 2
20 Jun
Spjelkavik
0 : 2
Orkla
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