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Melilla B vs Huetor Vega

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Pech H.

AI Match Summary

Melilla B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melilla B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Melilla B
20%
Draws
40%
Huetor Vega
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Huetor Vega have won more games recently than Melilla B.
  • Melilla B are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Melilla B Clean Sheet 68%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla B Huetor Vega
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs Huetor Vega
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Melilla B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melilla B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pech H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Huetor Vega Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla B 50 / 100
Huetor Vega 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla B Huetor Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melilla B's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Huetor Vega conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Huetor Vega has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Melilla B VS Huetor Vega
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla B

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
06 May
Melilla B
0 : 0
Motril
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 1
Melilla B
11 Apr
Melilla B
0 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 6

Huetor Vega

(Away)
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)