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Melilla CD vs Maracena

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 game between Melilla CD and Maracena finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melilla CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Melilla CD
30%
Draws
70%
Maracena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maracena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melilla CD come out ahead of Maracena on wins alone.
  • Maracena are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Melilla CD Clean Sheet 10%
Maracena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla CD Maracena
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Melilla CD
5:2
Apr 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Maracena
2:0
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Maracena
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Melilla CD
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla CD 14 / 100
Maracena 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla CD Maracena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maracena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Melilla CD's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Maracena let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Maracena lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melilla CD VS Maracena
0 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla CD

(Home)
09 Oct
Chiclana
4 : 0
Melilla CD
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3
Deportivo Murcia
19 Oct
CD Algar
4 : 1
Melilla CD
06 Jun
Melilla CD
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
29 May
Maracena
5 : 2
Melilla CD
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Maracena

(Away)
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5
Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0
Sporting Ceuta
27 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
1 : 1
Maracena
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Motril
1 : 1
Maracena
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