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Melilla vs Cantoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro, Melilla
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Melilla host Cantoria in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. Little to choose between these two on current form. Melilla have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Cantoria's 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.40 vs 1.08, favoring Melilla. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Melilla
30%
Draws
14%
Cantoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Melilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Cantoria haven't matched Melilla's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Melilla a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Melilla Clean Sheet 20%
Cantoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla Cantoria
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 10 0
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.21 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla 85 / 100
Cantoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla Cantoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cantoria let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Melilla found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Melilla remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Cantoria's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Melilla VS Cantoria
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2
Melilla
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0
Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
Page 1 of 6

Cantoria

(Away)
04 Oct
Cantoria
1 : 1
Almeria B
27 Sept
Granada CF B
2 : 0
Cantoria
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
13 Sept
Cantoria
1 : 1
Atletico de Marbella
06 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Cantoria

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)