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Melilla vs Huetor Vega - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro, Melilla
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Gomez E.
44' Event
Silva Reis R. W.
61' Event
Nagera A.

AI Match Summary

Melilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Melilla
20%
Draws
24%
Huetor Vega
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Melilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Melilla lately — more wins on the board than Huetor Vega.
  • Melilla are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Melilla Clean Sheet 20%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla Huetor Vega
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla vs Huetor Vega
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva Reis R. W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Huetor Vega Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla 85 / 100
Huetor Vega 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla Huetor Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melilla found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Huetor Vega let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Melilla remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Melilla VS Huetor Vega
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2
Melilla
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0
Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
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Huetor Vega

(Away)
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0
Mancha
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)