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Melksham vs Bath City

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Grimes N.
60' Event
Trialist
73' Event
Sweeten L.

AI Match Summary

Bath City in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bath City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Melksham
15%
Draws
49%
Bath City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bath City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Melksham lately — more wins on the board than Bath City.
  • Model gives Bath City a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Melksham Clean Sheet 10%
Bath City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melksham Bath City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.52 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Bath City
0:3
Jul 24, 2019 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Bath City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melksham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bath City Compare

Top Goalscorer Grimes N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melksham 18 / 100
Bath City 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melksham Bath City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bath City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Melksham found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bath City's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Melksham VS Bath City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Melksham

(Home)
24 Jul
Melksham
2 : 1
Yate
11 Jul
Melksham
1 : 4
Yeovil
06 Sept
Portishead Town
4 : 0
Melksham
22 Jul
Melksham
0 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
12 Jul
Melksham
0 : 4
Swindon
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Bath City

(Away)
08 Aug
Sholing
1 : 2
Bath City
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0
Bath City
25 Jul
Bath City
2 : 2
Newport
18 Jul
Bath City
0 : 3
Plymouth
14 Jul
Bath City
0 : 2
Cardiff U21
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