Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Memmingen vs Burghausen

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Muller N.

AI Match Summary

Burghausen in this Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burghausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Memmingen
20%
Draws
32%
Burghausen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Memmingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Memmingen haven't matched Burghausen's recent run of results.
  • Memmingen are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Burghausen here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Memmingen Clean Sheet 14%
Burghausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Memmingen Burghausen
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Memmingen vs Burghausen
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Memmingen
2:0
May 10, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Memmingen vs Burghausen
0:3
Oct 17, 2023 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Memmingen
5:3
May 6, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Memmingen
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Memmingen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Burghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Muller N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Memmingen 35 / 100
Burghausen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Memmingen Burghausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Memmingen's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Burghausen has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Memmingen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Memmingen VS Burghausen
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Memmingen

(Home)
14 Aug
Memmingen
0 : 3
Munich 1860
07 Aug
Bayreuth
1 : 3
Memmingen
01 Aug
Memmingen
4 : 1
Ansbach
24 Jul
Landsberg
0 : 1
Memmingen
11 Jul
Kottern-St. Mang
0 : 1
Memmingen
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Burghausen

(Away)
14 Aug
Burghausen
1 : 2
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
07 Aug
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 2
Burghausen
31 Jul
Burghausen
2 : 0
Bayern II
24 Jul
Ansbach
0 : 4
Burghausen
17 Jul
Burghausen
1 : 1
Augsburg II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)