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Menace vs Kaw Valley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Goldthorp E.
42'
Keita A.
55' Event
Brewer S.

AI Match Summary

Menace in this USL League Two 2022 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Menace
15%
Draws
53%
Kaw Valley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaw Valley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaw Valley haven't matched Menace's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Menace have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Menace, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Menace Clean Sheet 18%
Kaw Valley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Menace Kaw Valley
Matches Played 47 27
Wins 32 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.66 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2022 USL League Two
Menace vs Kaw Valley
4:0
Jun 13, 2021 USL League Two
Menace vs Kaw Valley
2:0
Jun 6, 2021 USL League Two
Kaw Valley vs Menace
0:1
Jun 28, 2020 USL League Two
Menace vs Kaw Valley
0:0
Jun 7, 2020 USL League Two
Kaw Valley vs Menace
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Menace Compare

Top Goalscorer Goldthorp E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brewer S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Kaw Valley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Menace 36 / 100
Kaw Valley 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Menace Kaw Valley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaw Valley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Menace scored in 91% of their last 47 outings.

Kaw Valley let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Solid form: Menace remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Menace VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Menace

(Home)
12 Jul
Menace
3 : 1
St. Louis Ambush
08 Jul
Springfield FC
2 : 4
Menace
04 Jul
Menace
0 : 3
Santafe Wanderers
01 Jul
Sunflower State
2 : 1
Menace
28 Jun
Menace
1 : 2
Peoria IL
Page 1 of 10

Kaw Valley

(Away)
23 Jul
Menace
4 : 0
Kaw Valley
17 Jul
St. Louis Lions
0 : 1
Kaw Valley
16 Jul
St. Louis Lions
0 : 1
Kaw Valley
10 Jul
Kaw Valley
3 : 0
Chicago Dutch Lions
10 Jul
Kaw Valley
2 : 2
FC Wichita
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ocean City 1
Long Island 3
Lionsbridge 1
Vermont Green 2
Manhattan 0
Western Pioneers 1
Seacoast United Phantoms 4
Christos 1
North Carolina Fusion U23 2
Brave SC 1
Twin City Toucans 0
Asheville City 3
One Knoxville 4
Texas United 2
Nona 1
West Virginia 2
Menace 4
Kaw Valley 0
Kings Hammer 3
Kalamazoo FC 2
South Bend Lions 1
Flint City 3
Chicago United 3
Peoria IL 1
Ballard 2
Project 51O 1
Portland (Capital) U23 2
San Francisco Glens SC 3
Southern California Eagles 3
Park City 1
Ventura 3
Flatirons 2
1/8-finals
Long Island 2
Vermont Green 1
Western Pioneers 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
North Carolina Fusion U23 2
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
West Virginia 0
Menace 4
Kings Hammer 1
Flint City 2
Chicago United 1
Ballard 3
San Francisco Glens SC 2
Southern California Eagles 1
Ventura 2
Quarter-finals
Long Island 2
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
North Carolina Fusion U23 2
One Knoxville 1
Menace 1
Flint City 2
Ballard 0
Ventura 1
Semi-finals
Long Island 2
North Carolina Fusion U23 0
Flint City 0
Ventura 1
Final
Long Island 1
Ventura 2