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Mendi vs CD Aluvion

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2008/2009
Mendi Logo

Mendi

2 - 1
FT
CD Aluvion Logo

CD Aluvion

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2008/2009 game between Mendi and CD Aluvion finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mendi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mendi
20%
Draws
16%
CD Aluvion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mendi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mendi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mendi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mendi Clean Sheet 11%
CD Aluvion Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendi CD Aluvion
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mendi vs CD Aluvion
2:1
Nov 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Mendi
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendi 83 / 100
CD Aluvion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendi CD Aluvion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mendi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Aluvion conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Difficult form: CD Aluvion registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mendi found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Mendi VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendi

(Home)
14 May
Mendi
1 : 1
Iruna
08 May
Cortes
2 : 0
Mendi
30 Apr
Mendi
3 : 5
CD River Ega
22 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 3
Mendi
16 Apr
Mendi
0 : 1
Burlades
Page 1 of 6

CD Aluvion

(Away)
12 May
Mutilvera
2 : 0
CD Aluvion
06 May
CD Aluvion
1 : 3
Cirbonero
27 Apr
Aoiz
3 : 1
CD Aluvion
22 Apr
CD Aluvion
0 : 6
Tudelano
14 Apr
Cortes
1 : 1
CD Aluvion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 40 28 8 4 87:29 92
2 Pena 40 27 8 5 82:33 89
3 Tudelano 40 20 13 7 68:35 73
4 Mutilvera 40 21 10 9 72:40 73
5 AD San Juan 40 20 10 10 65:41 70
6 Iruna 40 19 10 11 62:44 67
7 Cirbonero 40 16 12 12 50:45 60
8 Valle Egues 40 17 9 14 58:52 60
9 Huarte 40 13 14 13 52:44 53
10 CD Lourdes 40 14 10 16 46:56 52
11 Aoiz 40 12 12 16 48:54 48
12 Txantrea 40 11 14 15 46:52 47
13 CD Aluvion 40 13 8 19 53:80 47
14 Oberena 40 14 5 21 51:63 47
15 CD River Ega 40 13 8 19 44:62 47
16 Pena Azagresa 40 13 5 22 50:75 44
17 Murchante 40 10 13 17 38:59 43
18 Idoya 40 12 7 21 41:59 43
19 CD Ardoi 40 8 17 15 48:59 41
20 Lagunak 40 11 4 25 39:71 37
21 Mendi 40 4 11 25 32:79 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)