Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mendrisio vs Muttenz

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mendrisio in this 1.Liga Classic Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mendrisio
35%
Draws
41%
Muttenz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muttenz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Muttenz have won more games recently than Mendrisio.
  • Muttenz are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Muttenz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mendrisio, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 13%
Muttenz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Muttenz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 1.Liga Classic Cup
Mendrisio vs Muttenz
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 1.Liga Classic Cup
Muttenz vs Mendrisio
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 22 / 100
Muttenz 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Muttenz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muttenz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muttenz has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Mendrisio remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mendrisio scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS Muttenz
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendrisio

(Home)
22 Aug
Collina d'Oro
1 : 1
Mendrisio
16 Aug
FC Widnau
1 : 1
Mendrisio
08 Aug
Kosova
0 : 0
Mendrisio
30 May
Mendrisio
1 : 1
Taverne
23 May
Mendrisio
1 : 0
Tuggen
Page 1 of 6

Muttenz

(Away)
22 Aug
Muttenz
3 : 1
Buochs
15 Aug
Grasshopper II
1 : 2
Muttenz
08 Aug
Muttenz
0 : 1
Muri-Gumligen
04 Jul
Baden
2 : 3
Muttenz
30 May
Black Stars
0 : 4
Muttenz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Amical Saint-Prex 2
Delemont 1
Echallens 4
Lancy 1
Black Stars 1
Taverne 2
Besa Biel/Bienne 0
Chenois 2
Meyrin 3
Stade Payerne 0
Oberwallis Naters 2
Prishtina Bern 3
Young Fellows Juventus 2
Freienbach 1
Baden 7
SV Schaffhausen 1
Martigny-Sports 0
Munsingen 3
Bassecourt 1
La Chaux-De-Fonds 2
FC Widnau 1
Hongg 2
Kosova 1
Tuggen 2
Portalban 2
Solothurn 0
Old Boys 4
Wohlen 0
Langenthal 2
Monthey 0
Dietikon 3
Schotz 2
Concordia 3
Buochs 4
Wettswil-Bonstetten 2
Collina d'Oro 1
Mendrisio 2
Muttenz 1
Coffrane 0
Courtetelle 2
Final
Amical Saint-Prex 4
Echallens 1
Taverne 2
Chenois 1
Meyrin 3
Prishtina Bern 1
Young Fellows Juventus 4
Baden 2
Munsingen 6
La Chaux-De-Fonds 2
Hongg 3
Tuggen 3
Portalban 0
Old Boys 1
Langenthal 2
Dietikon 0
Buochs 2
Wettswil-Bonstetten 1
Mendrisio 0
Courtetelle 1