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Mendrisio vs Muttenz

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mendrisio play Muttenz in the 1.Liga Classic Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mendrisio averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Muttenz averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Mendrisio won 2, Muttenz won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 18, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Mendrisio and 1.63 for Muttenz. This points to a Mendrisio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mendrisio
26%
Draws
34%
Muttenz
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Mendrisio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Mendrisio picked up more points recently compared to Muttenz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 14%
Muttenz Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Muttenz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.37 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 1.Liga Classic Cup
Mendrisio vs Muttenz
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 1.Liga Classic Cup
Muttenz vs Mendrisio
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 39 / 100
Muttenz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Muttenz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mendrisio or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mendrisio attacking → ← attacking Muttenz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mendrisio scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Muttenz let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Mendrisio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Muttenz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 48
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75