Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mendrisio vs Winterthur II

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026 game between Mendrisio and Winterthur II finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mendrisio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Mendrisio
11%
Draws
80%
Winterthur II
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Winterthur II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mendrisio come out ahead of Winterthur II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Winterthur II a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 11%
Winterthur II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Winterthur II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
0:2
Sep 10, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Winterthur II
4:2
May 24, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Winterthur II
3:4
Apr 20, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 10 / 100
Winterthur II 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Winterthur II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mendrisio scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Winterthur II let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Mendrisio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS Winterthur II
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Fellows Juventus30234381:2673
2Tuggen30194774:5261
3Taverne30186654:3160
4Wettswil-Bonstetten30185774:3659
5Dietikon301281054:4744
6Freienbach301271153:5343
7Baden301181158:5241
8Mendrisio301171242:4440
9Winterthur II301091161:5439
10Collina d'Oro301091146:4439
11Kosova30991254:5536
12Eschen/Mauren307111235:5132
13St. Gallen II30951647:6632
14FC Widnau30761734:6327
15Hongg30671732:6225
16SV Schaffhausen30352224:8714