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Mendrisio vs Winterthur II

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026 game between Mendrisio and Winterthur II finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mendrisio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mendrisio
20%
Draws
44%
Winterthur II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Winterthur II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mendrisio come out ahead of Winterthur II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mendrisio a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 20%
Winterthur II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Winterthur II
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
0:2
Sep 10, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Winterthur II
4:2
May 24, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Winterthur II
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 36 / 100
Winterthur II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Winterthur II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mendrisio scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Winterthur II let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Mendrisio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS Winterthur II
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendrisio

(Home)
12 Sept
Eschen/Mauren
4 : 3
Mendrisio
06 Sept
Mendrisio
2 : 0
Freienbach
29 Aug
Winterthur II
2 : 1
Mendrisio
22 Aug
Collina d'Oro
1 : 1
Mendrisio
16 Aug
FC Widnau
1 : 1
Mendrisio
Page 1 of 6

Winterthur II

(Away)
05 Sept
Collina d'Oro
1 : 0
Winterthur II
29 Aug
Winterthur II
2 : 1
Mendrisio
22 Aug
Kosova
2 : 1
Winterthur II
19 Aug
Winterthur II
2 : 0
Thalwil
08 Aug
Baden
2 : 1
Winterthur II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Fellows Juventus 30 23 4 3 81:26 73
2 Tuggen 30 19 4 7 74:52 61
3 Taverne 30 18 6 6 54:31 60
4 Wettswil-Bonstetten 30 18 5 7 74:36 59
5 Dietikon 30 12 8 10 54:47 44
6 Freienbach 30 12 7 11 53:53 43
7 Baden 30 11 8 11 58:52 41
8 Mendrisio 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
9 Winterthur II 30 10 9 11 61:54 39
10 Collina d'Oro 30 10 9 11 46:44 39
11 Kosova 30 9 9 12 54:55 36
12 Eschen/Mauren 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
13 St. Gallen II 30 9 5 16 47:66 32
14 FC Widnau 30 7 6 17 34:63 27
15 Hongg 30 6 7 17 32:62 25
16 SV Schaffhausen 30 3 5 22 24:87 14
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)