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Mendrisio vs Winterthur II

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026 game between Mendrisio and Winterthur II finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mendrisio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Mendrisio
11%
Draws
80%
Winterthur II
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Winterthur II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mendrisio come out ahead of Winterthur II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Winterthur II a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 11%
Winterthur II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Winterthur II
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
0:2
Sep 10, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Winterthur II
4:2
May 24, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Winterthur II
3:4
Apr 20, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 10 / 100
Winterthur II 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Winterthur II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mendrisio scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Winterthur II let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Mendrisio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS Winterthur II
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendrisio

(Home)
30 May
Mendrisio
1 : 1
Taverne
23 May
Mendrisio
1 : 0
Tuggen
17 May
Mendrisio
1 : 0
Eschen/Mauren
09 May
Mendrisio
4 : 3
Dietikon
02 May
Mendrisio
0 : 3
Young Fellows Juventus
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Winterthur II

(Away)
30 May
Winterthur II
0 : 1
Hongg
23 May
FC Widnau
2 : 1
Winterthur II
17 May
Winterthur II
1 : 1
Collina d'Oro
09 May
Freienbach
0 : 2
Winterthur II
03 May
Winterthur II
5 : 0
Wettswil-Bonstetten
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Fellows Juventus30234381:2673
2Tuggen30194774:5261
3Taverne30186654:3160
4Wettswil-Bonstetten30185774:3659
5Dietikon301281054:4744
6Freienbach301271153:5343
7Baden301181158:5241
8Mendrisio301171242:4440
9Winterthur II301091161:5439
10Collina d'Oro301091146:4439
11Kosova30991254:5536
12Eschen/Mauren307111235:5132
13St. Gallen II30951647:6632
14FC Widnau30761734:6327
15Hongg30671732:6225
16SV Schaffhausen30352224:8714
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)