Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Menemenspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 Menemen İlçe Stadyumu, Izmir
Sun, Jan 11, 2026
3 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Menemenspor host Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu in the 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have shipped 2.75 goals a game lately, while Menemenspor have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.55. Past meetings favor Menemenspor slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.63) point toward Menemenspor. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Menemenspor
15%
Draws
49%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Menemenspor have won more games recently than Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
  • Win probability leans Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Menemenspor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Menemenspor Clean Sheet 14%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Menemenspor Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 2 1
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.55 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Menemenspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Menemenspor
1:4
Jan 19, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Menemenspor
0:5
Aug 31, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Menemenspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Menemenspor 23 / 100
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Menemenspor Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Menemenspor found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Menemenspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Menemenspor VS Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Menemenspor

(Home)
03 Oct
Menemenspor
2 : 0
Adanademirspor
27 Sept
Sebat Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Menemenspor
19 Sept
Menemenspor
3 : 0
Ankaraspor
13 Sept
Musspor
4 : 0
Menemenspor
06 Sept
Menemenspor
1 : 3
Inegol Kafkas
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Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

(Away)
07 Oct
Osmaniyespor
0 : 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
03 Oct
Kirikkale FK
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
27 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2 : 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
20 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
16 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
5 : 1
Bucak Belediyesi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 34 25 5 4 87:19 80
2 Mardin 1969 34 22 5 7 67:25 71
3 Musspor 34 21 7 6 82:35 70
4 Aliaga 34 21 6 7 81:32 69
5 K. Istklalspor 34 21 4 9 82:33 67
6 Isparta 32 Spor 34 18 9 7 70:36 63
7 Guzide Gebzespor 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
8 Menemenspor 34 15 6 13 57:51 51
9 Ankara Demirspor 34 14 7 13 47:47 49
10 Aksaray Bld. 34 11 14 9 52:38 47
11 Trabzon FK 34 13 8 13 54:51 47
12 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 13 7 14 40:36 46
13 Fethiyespor 34 11 11 12 52:41 44
14 Kirklarelispor 34 9 9 16 44:49 36
15 Soma Spor 34 8 6 20 41:68 30
16 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 33 4 3 26 22:97 12
17 Adanaspor AS 33 2 1 30 14:159 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 0 2 32 8:114 -52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)