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Mensajero vs Vecindario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mensajero in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mensajero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mensajero
20%
Draws
38%
Vecindario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mensajero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mensajero have won more games recently than Vecindario.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mensajero taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 20%
Vecindario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mensajero Vecindario
Matches Played 46 36
Wins 28 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Vecindario
2:0
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Vecindario vs Mensajero
1:1
May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Vecindario
3:0
Dec 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Vecindario vs Mensajero
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mensajero 49 / 100
Vecindario 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mensajero Vecindario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mensajero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mensajero scored in 80% of their last 46 games.

Vecindario's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Mensajero has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mensajero VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mensajero

(Home)
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2
Mensajero
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0
Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
Page 1 of 10

Vecindario

(Away)
11 May
UD Realejos
1 : 0
Vecindario
01 May
Vecindario
1 : 1
Atletico Victoria
27 Apr
Ibarra
0 : 0
Vecindario
16 Apr
Vecindario
1 : 0
Villa Santa Brigida
12 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Vecindario
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 38 26 7 5 90:27 85
2 Atletico Granadilla 38 24 8 6 64:33 80
3 Estrella 38 24 5 9 66:30 77
4 Union Viera 38 22 9 7 82:49 75
5 Mensajero 38 22 8 8 80:37 74
6 Tenerife B 38 17 12 9 63:40 63
7 Vecindario 38 16 12 10 49:38 60
8 Corralejo 38 16 8 14 43:41 56
9 Las Zocas 38 16 8 14 42:56 56
10 Villa Santa Brigida 38 16 6 16 55:59 54
11 Telde 38 15 9 14 47:56 54
12 Ibarra 38 15 7 16 52:45 52
13 SD Tenisca 38 14 9 15 46:62 51
14 Lanzarote 38 13 10 15 59:58 49
15 Atletico Victoria 38 13 6 19 41:49 45
16 Vera CD 38 12 6 20 43:75 42
17 San Isidro 38 8 9 21 38:57 33
18 San Pedro Martir 38 5 9 24 21:43 24
19 Tijarafe 38 5 3 30 31:92 18
20 UD Gomera 38 3 5 30 30:95 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)