Sport Picks
Mensajero vs Villa Santa Brigida
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
57'
57'
Cabrera Diaz A.
90'
90'
Barroso Santana M.
AI Match Summary
Mensajero in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mensajero.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villa Santa Brigida
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Mensajero have won more games recently than Villa Santa Brigida.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mensajero | Villa Santa Brigida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Mensajero
1:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Mensajero
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Villa Santa Brigida
5:1
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mensajero Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabrera Diaz A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barroso Santana M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Villa Santa Brigida Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mensajero 32 / 100
Villa Santa Brigida 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mensajero Villa Santa Brigida
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mensajero found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Villa Santa Brigida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Mensajero stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mensajero VS Villa Santa Brigida
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mensajero
(Home) 19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0 Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0 Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2 Murcia
24 May
Mensajero
1 : 0 Tamaraceite
16 May
Tamaraceite
2 : 0 Mensajero
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0 Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2 Murcia
24 May
Mensajero
1 : 0 Tamaraceite
10 May
Mensajero
1 : 0 UD San Fernando
26 Apr
Mensajero
2 : 0 Villa Santa Brigida
Page 1 of 3
Villa Santa Brigida
(Away) 19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0 Anaza
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5 Tamaraceite
08 May
Telde
0 : 3 Villa Santa Brigida
01 May
Villa Santa Brigida
3 : 0 CD Marino
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
08 May
Telde
0 : 3 Villa Santa Brigida
26 Apr
Mensajero
2 : 0 Villa Santa Brigida
11 Apr
San Bartolome
2 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
28 Mar
Arucas
1 : 2 Villa Santa Brigida
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
