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Mensajero vs Villa Santa Brigida

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Cabrera Diaz A.
90' Event
Barroso Santana M.

AI Match Summary

Mensajero in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mensajero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mensajero
39%
Draws
31%
Villa Santa Brigida
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Mensajero have won more games recently than Villa Santa Brigida.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mensajero Villa Santa Brigida
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Mensajero
1:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Mensajero
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Villa Santa Brigida
5:1
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mensajero Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera Diaz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barroso Santana M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Villa Santa Brigida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mensajero 41 / 100
Villa Santa Brigida 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mensajero Villa Santa Brigida

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mensajero found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Villa Santa Brigida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mensajero stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mensajero VS Villa Santa Brigida
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125