Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Ben Hmaied M.
AI Match Summary
Menzel Bourguiba in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Menzel Bourguiba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EM Mahdia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Menzel Bourguiba haven't matched EM Mahdia's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans EM Mahdia's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Menzel Bourguiba Clean Sheet 16%
EM Mahdia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Menzel Bourguiba | EM Mahdia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs EM Mahdia
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Menzel Bourguiba
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs EM Mahdia
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Menzel Bourguiba
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Menzel Bourguiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Ben Hmaied M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
EM Mahdia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Menzel Bourguiba 10 / 100
EM Mahdia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Menzel Bourguiba EM Mahdia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EM Mahdia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
EM Mahdia let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Away concern: EM Mahdia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Menzel Bourguiba found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Menzel Bourguiba VS EM Mahdia
0.13 Goals Scored 0.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Menzel Bourguiba
(Home) 11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4 Kerkennah
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4 Kerkennah
29 Mar
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 1 Megrine
22 Feb
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 1 AS Agareb
01 Feb
Menzel Bourguiba
2 : 2 Msaken
Page 1 of 3
EM Mahdia
(Away) 26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
27 Apr
EM Mahdia
0 : 1 US Tataouine
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
05 Apr
AS Agareb
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
23 Mar
Ajim Djerba
2 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
