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Menzel Bourguiba vs Megrine

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Torkhani H.
(Penalty)
75'
Karoui M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Menzel Bourguiba and Megrine finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Megrine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Menzel Bourguiba
35%
Draws
37%
Megrine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Megrine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Megrine come out ahead of Menzel Bourguiba on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Megrine taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Menzel Bourguiba Clean Sheet 16%
Megrine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Menzel Bourguiba Megrine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs Megrine
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Menzel Bourguiba
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Menzel Bourguiba
6:0
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs Megrine
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Menzel Bourguiba 10 / 100
Megrine 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Menzel Bourguiba Megrine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Megrine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Megrine conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Menzel Bourguiba's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Menzel Bourguiba remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Menzel Bourguiba VS Megrine
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Menzel Bourguiba

(Home)
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0
EM Mahdia
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4
Kerkennah
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 6

Megrine

(Away)
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1
Megrine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0
EM Mahdia
13 Apr
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Megrine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)