Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Mersni M.
33'
33'
Mehdaoui T. E.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Zorgati A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 game between Menzel Bourguiba and Msaken finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Menzel Bourguiba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Msaken come out ahead of Menzel Bourguiba on wins alone.
- 21% — that's where the model lands on Msaken taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Menzel Bourguiba Clean Sheet 15%
Msaken Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Menzel Bourguiba | Msaken |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs Msaken
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Menzel Bourguiba
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Menzel Bourguiba
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs Msaken
1:1
Sep 4, 2020 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs Msaken
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Menzel Bourguiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Krichi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Msaken Compare
Top Goalscorer Mersni M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zorgati A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Menzel Bourguiba 11 / 100
Msaken 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Menzel Bourguiba Msaken
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Msaken Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Msaken has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Msaken's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Menzel Bourguiba scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Menzel Bourguiba VS Msaken
0.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Menzel Bourguiba
(Home) 11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4 Kerkennah
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4 Kerkennah
29 Mar
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 1 Megrine
22 Feb
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 1 AS Agareb
01 Feb
Menzel Bourguiba
2 : 2 Msaken
Page 1 of 3
Msaken
(Away) 11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
19 Apr
CA Bizertin
2 : 1 Msaken
Page 1 of 6
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
19 Apr
CA Bizertin
2 : 1 Msaken
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0 Msaken
28 Mar
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 Msaken
22 Feb
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Msaken
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
